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【中信期货】中国PTA市场(二)聚酯纤维对棉花纤维替代趋势-260519(21页).pdf

上传人: 向** 编号:1242233 2026-05-19 21页 2.36MB

1、重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人投资建议。我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人投资建议。我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户。相关人员为客户。This report is not a service under the futures trading consulting business.The opinions and information provided are for reference only and do n

2、ot constitute investment advice to anyone.CITIC Futures will not consider relevant personnel as customers due to their attention,receipt,or reading of this report.Investment consulting business qualification:CSRC License 2012 No.669 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】669 号 中信期货国际化研究中信期货国际化研究|CITIC Futures Internati

3、onal Research 2026-05-19 China PTA Market(II)Polyester Fiber Substitution for Cotton Fiber 中国中国 PTA 市场(二)聚酯纤维对棉花纤维替代趋势市场(二)聚酯纤维对棉花纤维替代趋势 Abstract 摘要摘要 Chinas textile industry is undergoing a structural shift from cotton to polyester fibers,with non-cotton fibers now dominating raw material consumpti

4、on.Since 2019,the output of chemical fiber yarns and fabrics has surpassed that of cotton blends,and the gap has continued to widen.Polyester,particularly PET fiber,is the largest chemical fiber category,with production reaching 64.77 million tons in 2025accounting for nearly 90 percent of synthetic

5、 fiberswhile filament yarn output far exceeds staple fiber due to more efficient processes.Rapid growth in upstream PTA and ethylene glycol production has supported chemical fiber capacity expansion,driving a sustained increase in Chinas net exports of chemical fibers.Currently,fixed-asset investmen

6、t and profit growth in the textile sector are outperforming other segments of the industrial chain,signaling an accelerated upgrade toward high-end,intelligent manufacturing.Risks:Geopolitical conflict escalation.中国纺织业正经历由棉向聚酯纤维的结构性转变,非棉纤维已成为主流原料。2019 年起,化学纤维纱与布的产量超越棉混纺产品,此后差距持续扩大。其中,涤纶作为第一大化纤品种,202

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1. 中国纺织业结构性转变:非棉纤维成主流,2019年起化学纤维纱/布产量超棉混纺,差距持续扩大。 2. 聚酯纤维主导化纤市场:2025年产量6477万吨,占合成纤维近90%,其中长丝5129万吨(远超短纤1348万吨)。 3. 上游支撑产能扩张:PTA、乙二醇产量高速增长,推动化纤净出口扩大(2025年出口762.2万吨,进口54.8万吨)。 4. 行业升级加速:纺织业固定资产投资(+17.6%)与利润(+12.6%)增幅领先产业链,向高端化、智能化转型。 5. 风险提示:地缘冲突升级。
棉花被替代? 聚酯为何崛起? 纺织业升级了吗?
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