欧洲运输与环境联合会：2019-2025 欧洲电动汽车浪潮（英文版）(31页).pdf

1、 (ELECTRIC) SURGE! Carmakers electric car plans across Europe 2019-2025 July 2019 2 Transport rather it aims to give some insights on what can be expected from the EU vehicle market in the medium-term future based on the carmakers production plans known to date. The purpose of this report is to anal

2、yse the impact of current industrial plans and CO2 regulations on the European market - it should not be considered as a market forecast. 2. Carmakers EV plans across Europe: 2019 to 2025 2.1. Forecast data on EV production This report is based on the T a single common standard is applied. Light veh

3、icles have a Gross Vehicle Weight below 6 tons and combine the passenger car and small truck vehicle types. Micro cars and three wheelers are excluded. 6 Vehicles can be produced in Europe with part of the vehicle being imported from outside the EU (e.g. the powertrain or the battery). 7 In terms of

4、 industrial plans the 2030 timeframe is too distant to assess production plans as it is not within the timeframe of current product developments and would thus be highly speculative. 8 In practice the following countries marked as European in the database were excluded: Russia, Kazakhstan, Uzbekista

5、n, Ukraine, Serbia, Belarus and Turkey. Unless specified otherwise, Europe or EU is used to designate the EU region. 9 2.2. EV models coming to the market up to 2025 The number of BEV models available on the market has stayed consistently low in the past as carmakers saw them as compliance cars unti

6、l recently, producing the minimum needed to hit CO2 targets. Today, less than 40 battery electric car and van models are available on the market, and the supply of most of these vehicles is being surpressed as shown previously by T Volkswagen: 300,000; Porsche: 160,000; SEAT: 75,000 and Skoda: 50,00