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国际清洁交通委员会:2025欧盟电池电动卡车充电基础设施需求分析报告(至2030年)(英文版)(41页).pdf

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1、OCTOBER 2025Charging infrastructure needs for battery electric trucks in the European Union by 2030HUSSEIN BASMA AND JAKOB SCHMIDTACKNOWLEDGMENTSThe authors thank all internal reviewers of this report for their guidance and constructive comments,with special thanks to Pierre-Louis Ragon,Hongyang Cui

2、,Harsimran Kaur,Hamilton Steimer,Felipe Rodrguez,and Yidan Chu of the International Council on Clean Transportation.Their reviews do not imply any endorsement of the content of this report.International Council on Clean Transportation Fasanenstrae 85,10623Berlin,Germanycommunicationstheicct.org|www.

3、theicct.org|TheICCT 2025 International Council on Clean Transportation(ID 476)iICCT REPORT|CHARGING INFRASTRUCTURE NEEDS FOR BATTERY ELECTRIC TRUCKS IN THE EUROPEAN UNION BY 2030EXECUTIVE SUMMARYSales of battery electric trucks(BETs)in the European Union(EU)have steadily increased over the past few

4、years.Uptake has increased across all truck segments and trucking applications,especially among light-and medium-duty trucks below 12 tonnes.This trend is expected to accelerate over the next 5 years as truck manufacturers need to ramp up BET sales to comply with the EU carbon dioxide(CO2)reduction

5、targets for heavy-duty vehicles(HDVs).This growing BET fleet will require an extensive network of truck-dedicated charging infrastructure to cover the trucks energy needs.In 2023,the EU adopted the Alternative Fuels Infrastructure Regulation(AFIR),which aims to ensure minimum infrastructure support

6、for alternative fuel vehicles,including BETs,by establishing mandatory targets for public electric vehicle charger deployment across the EU.This paper quantifies BET charging needs in the 27 EU Member States(EU-27)in 2030.We use a modeling approach to estimate the stock of BETs in EU-27;we then esti

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1. **充电需求预测**:2030年欧盟电池电动卡车(BET)车队需22-28 GW充电功率,其中公共与私人充电各占一半,对应15-17.5万私人充电桩和6-8万公共充电桩。 2. **充电模式分布**:夜间充电占主导(超2/3功率),公共快充(150-350 kW)和超快充(750 kW)需6.3-7.9 GW,超快充桩仅占2%但占15%功率。 3. **AFIR目标覆盖**:欧盟替代燃料基础设施法规(AFIR)预计覆盖50%-70%公共充电需求,核心路网覆盖65%-85%,综合路网仅35%-45%。 4. **国家差异**:德、波、法、西、意五国占欧盟总需求的70%以上,部分国家(如比利时)AFIR目标实际需求缺口达2.5-3.5倍。 5. **政策建议**:需加速部署专用充电走廊、简化电网接入许可,并推动电网前瞻性投资以应对挑战。
欧盟充电缺口有多大? 2030年充电需求预测? AFIR政策够用吗?
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