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中国海关跨境电商零售进出口占比

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所属报告：

圆通速递-曙光已现行远自弥-220515（18页）.pdf

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中国制造业升级出海和东南亚地区跨境电商的快速增长为国内快递公司拓展国际业务提供契机。纵观国外快递龙头公司发展历史，全球三大快递物流巨头之一，Fedex 即受益于 80 年代高科技产业的高速发展，高附加值的制造业如电子、医药、生物技术和汽车业的蓬勃发展带来了巨大的快递服务需求，随着这些高端制造业向海外拓展业务的需求增强，Fedex 的国际快递业务也随之出海。高端制造业的物流服务具有利润高、标准高的特点，而圆通利用自有航空网络优势，主要锁定消费电子、汽车配件、医疗等头层客户，为其国际业务和航空板块带来高收益。我国制造业出口货量连年增长，高端制造业出口货量增加必然带来对航空、快递配套服务的需求增长，为快递企业出海带来契机。圆通优先布局海外业务，增加全货机数量，改善运力结构，增强对国际业务的服务能力，具有一定先发优势，未来增长空间广阔。此外，跨境电商增长快速，我国跨境电商市场规模截至 2021 年将达到 146000 亿元，在跨境电商行业蓬勃发展的加持下，未来跨境物流将达到 3000 亿的行业规模，空间仍然广阔。从跨境电商零售进出口占比情况看，截至 2020 年出口跨境电商交易规模占比高达 66%，预计到 2021 年，跨境电商出口额占比将达到 77%，出口需求仍然旺盛，尤其在东南亚电商平台如 Shopee 的快速发展下，未来国际快递业务发展空间广阔。东南亚地区电商平台增长快速，带动圆通航空和国际快递业务需求增长，圆通积极布局东南亚地区航线，并增强当地快递服务能力，未来发展潜力较大。

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