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分布式及工商业分布式光伏装机容量预测
分布式及工商业分布式光伏装机容量预测
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2021年钢结构工程龙头东南网架公司战略转型分析报告（23页）.pdf
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图28、我国火电机组装机容量变化（万千瓦）
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行业数据
2026-07-27
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全球储能新增装机容量（GWh）
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行业数据
2026-07-27
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全球储能装机容量趋势（吉瓦时）
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行业数据
2026-07-21
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图19：2025年非洲公用事业级与分布式太阳能份额细分
fCDnsbvliKsgfCDku73pop0gfAp8Oi0tLXw6LS0tfAp8IOWIhuW4g+W8j+WkqumYs+iDvSB8IDQ0JSB8Cnwg5YWs55So5LqL5Lia6KeE5qih5aSq6Ziz6IO9IHwgNTYlIHwKCioq6LWE5paZ5p2l5rqQ77yaKiogR1NDIOW4guWcuuaDheaKpQ==
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竞争格局
2026-07-21
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图1：2025年太阳能光伏新增装机容量：
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行业数据
2026-07-21
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图4：非洲年度太阳能光伏装机容量：2024年对比2025年
fCDlubTku70gfCDlpKrpmLPog73lhYnkvI/mlrDlop7oo4XmnLrlrrnph48gKE1XKSB8Cnw6LS0tLTp8Oi0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLTp8CnwgMjAyNOW5tCB8IDIsOTI1LjYgfAp8IDIwMjXlubQgfCA0LDQ5OC42IHwKfCDlkIzmr5Tlop7plb8gfCArNTQlIHwKCioq6LWE5paZ5p2l5rqQ77yaR1ND5biC5Zy65oOF5oqlKio=
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行业数据
2026-07-21
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图9：全球已安装的潮汐流能装机容量
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行业数据
2026-07-21
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我国工商业储能当年新增装机容量（单位：GW，GWh）
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行业数据
2026-07-21
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我国分布式光伏装机情况（单位：GW）
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行业数据
2026-07-21
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GEV在手合同总装机容量：数据中心占比20%
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行业数据
2026-07-20
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我国零售侧分时电价的五个调整阶段（针对工商业用电企业）
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行业数据
2026-07-10
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全球燃气轮机OEM份额（装机容量口径）
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竞争格局
2026-07-08
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2025年分布式光伏并网2.8GW
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行业数据
2026-07-08
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2022-2025年国内风机各容量装机占比
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行业数据
2026-07-06
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2025年全国海上风电新增装机容量及占比
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若 2025年我国光伏新增装机中 50%来自于分布式，则 2025年光伏新增装机中分布式的装机容量有望达到 45-55GW，20-25年 CAGR24%-29%，若假设 25年工商业分布式的新增装机占比达到 75%，则 25年工商业新增装机容量或达 33.75-41.25GW，假设 2020年的工商业分布式装机容量为 3GW，则 20-25年新增装机 CAGR62%-69%。根据中国 BIPV联盟的预测，至 2025年 BIPV在工业厂房新建屋顶分布式光伏项目中的渗透率有望达到 100%，即使保守假设工商业新增装机容量中 50%来自于工业建筑，2025 年工业建筑带来的 BIPV 市场也有望达到 16.88-20.63GW，20-25年 CAGR88%-96%，若假设 2025年工商业分布式新增装机全部使用 BIPV，2025年 BIPV市场的复合增长率有望达到 116%-125%，我们认为，即使从较为保守的假设出发，十四五阶段 BIPV也有望取得较快的复合增长。
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