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产业升级下三四线城市仍有结构性的机会
产业升级下三四线城市仍有结构性的机会
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碧桂园-土地标准化成就高周转-210823（33页）.pdf
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行业数据
2026-03-20
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对代表性 HVDC 海底互联项目的股权收益率（IRR）对收入结构和利用率的敏感性分析
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行业数据
2026-03-11
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图15、结构性行情下权益类基金规模快速扩张
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市场规模
2026-03-09
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第1组：结构性分离和批发监管（例如；澳大利亚；新加坡）
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行业数据
2026-03-05
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表8-2中国保健品产业高潜力结构性赛道分析
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自研数据
2026-02-06
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中国护肤品市场结构性增长点概览
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因此，接下来能做到高周转的只在三四线，而不再是一二线。三四线城镇化进程虽缓慢，但是依然能享受到产业升级下城市群和都市圈发展的红利。每日经济新闻披露的 2020 年 GDP 全国 TOP38 的千亿县中，在2016-2019 年有 25 个县的建成区面积在继续扩张。符合城市扩张下项目具备升值潜力的地块依然存在，城市建设尚未结束，因此标准化的拿地模型在三四线依然适用。再加上目前低能级城市土地市场仍然没有非常市场化，依然具备获取低成本项目的空间。因此，接下来能做到高周转的只有三四线，而三四线是有进入门槛的，能做到多年来在三四线深耕的品牌房企是具备先发优势的。
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碧桂园-土地标准化成就高周转-210823（33页）.pdf
公司预计2021年EPS预计为1.73元，较2020年增长8.8%
公司2021-2023年拿地投资力度预计为30%，此后逐渐下降，预计2025年为10%
按照当前投资力度，预计能在2023年满足三道红线
截止2020年底，地产三道红线公司仍差一条未满足
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