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票据转贴现利率（%）

票据转贴现利率（%）

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所属报告：

银行业2025年度策略：货币如水流水不腐-241221（62页）.pdf

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上市银行 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024Q1 2024H1 2024Q1~3 2024E 2025E 贷款同比增长 11.4% 11.2% 11.1% 10.1% 9.0% 8.2% 8.2% 7.8% 投资类资产增长 8.1% 12.0% 11.3% 10.2% 10.3% 11.4% 12.1% 13.2% 同业资产增长 -4.4% 20.9% 18.8% 12.8% -10.7% 3.0% -2.1% -2.0% 生息资产增速 8.3% 11.7% 11.5% 9.5% 7.3% 8.4% 7.9% 8.9% 存款增长 7.6% 12.4% 10.8% 7.9% 4.5% 4.3% 5.6% 7.7% 同业负债增长 9.7% 12.8% 15.0% 16.7% 15.3% 28.8% 12.8% 1.6% 发行债券增长 17.7% 5.8% 9.2% 13.7% 19.4% 20.6% 33.1% 33.7% 计息负债增速 7.9% 11.6% 12.1% 9.7% 7.1% 8.3% 7.9% 9.1% 国有行 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024Q1 2024H1 2024Q1~3 2024E 2025E 贷款同比增长 11.8% 12.7% 12.9% 11.5% 10.1% 9.1% 9.1% 8.3% 投资类资产增长 8.5% 12.2% 12.3% 13.6% 13.5% 14.7% 15.3% 15.8% 同业资产增长 -10.6% 31.1% 20.3% 10.3% -21.5% -8.3% -9.5% -3.0% 生息资产增速 8.0% 13.2% 13.1% 11.0% 7.9% 9.1% 8.7% 9.9% 存款增长 7.3% 12.7% 12.1% 9.2% 4.4% 3.6% 5.1% 8.2% 同业负债增长 12.0% 16.0% 17.9% 27.9% 28.7% 52.6% 25.0% 1.0% 发行债券增长 14.0% 17.9% 24.6% 18.8% 28.1% 28.3% 25.8% 30.1% 计息负债增速 7.7% 13.3% 13.8% 11.5% 7.9% 9.2% 8.8% 10.0% 股份行 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024Q1 2024H1 2024Q1~3 2024E 2025E 贷款同比增长 9.0% 6.9% 6.1% 5.3% 4.6% 4.4% 4.4% 5.2% 投资类资产增长 6.0% 11.1% 8.6% 3.1% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 7.3% 同业资产增长 7.3% 0.2% 20.7% 18.5% 14.3% 35.0% 10.7% 2.0% 生息资产增速 7.4% 7.5% 7.4% 4.9% 4.1% 5.3% 4.1% 5.8% 存款增长 7.1% 10.9% 6.4% 3.2% 2.2% 4.0% 5.3% 5.5% 同业负债增长 6.5% 6.9% 10.7% 1.9% -1.1% 4.1% -3.0% 2.0% 发行债券增长 17.9% -3.5% -1.2% 12.0% 14.2% 11.7% 16.1% 14.2% 计息负债增速 6.9% 7.3% 7.9% 4.6% 3.6% 4.8% 4.3% 6.1% 城商行 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024Q1 2024H1 2024Q1~3 2024E 2025E 贷款同比增长 15.7% 13.5% 13.3% 13.7% 13.0% 12.6% 12.5% 11.0% 投资类资产增长 11.3% 12.9% 12.2% 9.6% 10.4% 11.6% 12.5% 12.0% 同业资产增长 17.6% 20.2% 6.6% 19.0% 20.1% 22.0% 18.8% -6.0% 生息资产增速 12.8% 13.1% 12.0% 11.7% 12.1% 12.2% 12.1% 10.5% 存款增长 11.3% 14.0% 11.7% 9.5% 11.6% 11.1% 11.5% 9.2% 同业负债增长 13.7% 18.7% 14.3% 16.5% 3.8% 2.5% 4.5% 5.0% 发行债券增长 26.7% 8.8% 2.1% 10.1% 13.3% 23.3% 30.5% 24.3% 计息负债增速 12.6% 13.4% 12.0% 11.4% 11.3% 11.7% 11.9% 10.7% 农商行 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024Q1 2024H1 2024Q1~3 2024E 2025E 贷款同比增长 15.1% 10.6% 8.5% 8.3% 6.9% 6.4% 6.4% 6.0% 投资类资产增长 9.3% 12.2% 13.6% 4.9% 5.3% 3.2% 5.2% 6.1% 同业资产增长 -9.3% -8.5% -1.2% 19.5% 18.8% 29.2% 29.4% -1.0% 生息资产增速 9.8% 9.0% 9.3% 7.2% 6.7% 6.4% 6.9% 5.8% 存款增长 9.5% 11.5% 9.9% 7.7% 7.3% 7.4% 7.4% 7.7% 同业负债增长 -9.2% 23.6% 22.8% 20.5% 0.1% -6.3% 5.0% -7.0% 发行债券增长 13.3% -14.8% -11.2% -20.3% -2.0% 2.0% 7.9% 9.2% 计息负债增速 9.1% 8.5% 9.6% 6.8% 6.6% 6.3% 7.0% 6.3%

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