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亿联网络收入增长与美国/欧盟GDP增速的相关性
亿联网络收入增长与美国/欧盟GDP增速的相关性
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所属报告：
亿联网络：亿联网络十问十答-220921(35页）.pdf
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图4：.全要素生产率、人均资本和人均GDP指数（2001年=100），肯尼
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2026-07-21
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肯尼亚在过去二十年的增长表现相对强劲。图1：2001-2024年肯尼亚及选定国家群体的实际GDP增长
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2026-07-21
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图5：.潜在GDP贡献因素，肯尼亚及同类国家
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2026-07-21
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图18：.普通收入（占GDP百分比），2016/17-
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2026-07-21
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Figure 38： . Deviation in real GDP from baseline due to climate change impacts by damage channel, 2050
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2026-07-21
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Figure 37： . Domestic credit to the private sector and value-added in services (share of GDP), 2019
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2026-07-21
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Figure 1： .Real GDP growth,Kenya, and selected country groups,2001-2024
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2026-07-21
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图38.2050：年各损害渠道气候变化影响导致的实际GDP与基线偏离
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2026-07-21
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图37：.对私营部门的国内信贷与服务业增加值（占GDP比重），2019年
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2026-07-21
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图13：.国际收支（占GDP百分比），2006-
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2026-07-21
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图9：.利息支付（占收入百分比）和政府总债务（占GDP百分比），202
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2026-07-21
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图14：.对私营部门的国内信贷（占GDP的百分比），2023年
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2026-07-21
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Figure 13： . Balance of payments (percent of GDP), 2006-
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2026-07-21
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韩国长期AI投资计划接近一年GDP的两倍
fCDpobnnm64gfCDph5Hpop3vvIjkuIfkur/pn6nlhYPvvIkgfAp8Oi0tLTp8Oi0tLTp8CnwgKirkuInmmJ/pm4blm6IqKiB8IDIsNjU1IHwKfCAqKlNL6ZuG5ZuiKiogfCAyLDEwMCB8CnwgKirmgLvmipXotYQqKiB8IDQsNzU1IHwKfCAqKumfqeWbvTIwMjXlkI3kuYlHRFAqKiB8IDIsNjc3IHwKfCAqKuW5tOWdh+aKlei1hCoqIHwgMzg3IHwKCui1hOaWmeadpea6kO+8muW9reWNmu+8jOeUs+S4h+Wuj+a6kOeglOeptg==
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净出口和设备投资主导韩国GDP加速
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2026-07-30
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此外，我们参考可比公司宝利通在 2008 年金融危机前后与海外宏观 GDP 增速相关性。2018 年金融危机前，宝利通收入增长和 GDP 增速没有呈现出明显相关性。2018Q1-2010Q2 全球金融危机期间，宝利通收入增速和 GDP 增速相关性明显。金融危机之后，宝利通因为市场竞争、公司发展战略等原因收入增长持续放缓甚至负增长，与GDP 增速相关性又变弱。因此我们认为，就算海外宏观经济衰退实质发生，但衰退幅度只要不像 2008 年金融危机或者 2020 年疫情冲击时的剧烈冲击，则海外宏观经济温和衰退不会对公司发展造成显著影响。建议投资者更多关注混合办公模式下行业增长情况，以及公司内在竞争力的提升。
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亿联网络：亿联网络十问十答-220921(35页）.pdf
亿联网络收入拆分与预测（单位：百万元）
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宝利通期间费用率
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