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各类型电源在新增发电量中的占比
各类型电源在新增发电量中的占比
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所属报告：
电力行业：新型电力系统的特点、趋势与投资机会-210902（22页）.pdf
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2026-06-23
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2024-2025年美国发电量变化（TWh）
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2026-06-23
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2022-2026年4月光伏发电量变化（亿千瓦时）
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2026-06-05
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2025-2026年4月全国核电月度发电量变化
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2026-06-05
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2022-2026年4月风电发电量变化（亿千瓦时）
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2026-06-05
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2026年4月全国各省火电发电量同比变化
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2026-06-05
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2025-2026年4月全国火电发电量及同比
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2026-06-05
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2020 年总发电量 7.6 万亿千瓦时，我们预计 2025 年达到 9.8 万亿千瓦时，年均增速 5.3%。结合当前经济形势来看，“十四五”用电量/发电量增速大概率呈现前高后低趋势：今年 1-7 月，全社会用电量累计 47097亿千瓦时，同比增长 15.6%。保守估计 2021 年发电量增速 9.5%（中电联预测今年下半年全社会用电量同比增长 6%左右，全年全社会用电量增长 10%-11%）；2022 年用电量/发电量有望维持在 6%以上；“十四五”末期年增速或将下滑至 3.5%左右，年新增用电量/发电量约 3300 亿千瓦时。考虑年新增新能源装机 120GW（风电 40GW、光伏 80GW），保守估计风电、光伏利用小时数分别为 2100、1200，则新能源新增发电量1800 亿千瓦时，占新增发电量的比重 55%。
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