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全球老年抚养比提升的推动力拆分
全球老年抚养比提升的推动力拆分
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“大展宏图”系列研究一：老龄化是通胀还是通缩力量？-260223（32页）.pdf
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图27：iPhone17Pro（256GB）和iPhone7的价格（来自2017年《世界价格地图》版本，完整可用列表，美元)
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行业数据
2026-07-21
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地图来源：自然资源部标准地图服务系统-世界地图，审图号：GS(2016)2945号
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行业数据
2026-07-13
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图8-8：国际武术联合会 《第五届世界太极拳锦标赛竞赛规程》，2026年4月23一30日
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行业数据
2026-07-01
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2000～2025年世界一次能源费结构
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行业数据
2026-07-01
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中国化工产品销售规模占比世界46%（2024年）
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市场规模
2026-07-01
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世界主要运载火箭发射报价（万美元）和运载能力（kg）对比
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行业数据
2026-06-26
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2026年中国球迷观看往届世界杯时长
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行业数据
2026-06-15
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截至2026年5月4日，美国海军在世界各地部署的航母打击群和两栖戒备群的大致位置
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行业数据
2026-06-12
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中国港口吞吐量世界排名领先，全球TOP10
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行业数据
2026-06-12
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中国港口吞吐量世界排名领先，全球TOP10货
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行业数据
2026-06-12
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图3-1丨世界能源可持续性总分（2022）
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行业数据
2026-06-09
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世界各国家（140个）
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2026-06-09
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2025世界能源可持续性评价报告|聚焦全球性冲击影响
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2026-06-09
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世界半导体贸易规模及半导体行业指数均明显上行
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市场规模
2026-06-09
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印尼——政府发展绿能意愿强烈，但作为产油国，电气化转型内生动力不足（图为世界主要国家油价排序）
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2026-06-02
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全球全年龄段奶粉市场规模（亿美元）
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全球拥有AKK专利菌株的核心企业
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2026-07-30
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从发达国家经验来看，浅度老龄化时期老年抚养比上行主要由预期寿命提升推动，出生率对老龄化是负贡献；深度老龄化时寿命提升这一因素对老年抚养比的推动力减弱，出生率下降对老年抚养比提升的贡献由负转正，超级老龄化时出生率下降取代预期寿命提升，成为老年抚养比上行的主要推力。从老龄化进程来看，发达国家老龄化在 1998 年首度迈入深度老龄化环境，在此之前老年抚养比完全由寿命提升推动，生育率起到拉低老龄化的作用（出生人口要 65 年后才进入老年，战后婴儿潮的高出生率拉低老年抚养比）；1998 年至 2025 年发达国家处于深度老龄化状态，其间出生率对老年抚养比的推动由负转正（2012 年首次转正）；展望未来，预计 2026 至 2100 年发达国家都将处于“超级老龄化”，出生率因素在 2054年首度超过寿命提升，成为老龄化的主要推动力。从全球人口结构预期来看，预计全球人口自 2039 年进入深度老龄化，自 2076 年进入超级老龄化，其间出生率因素逐步成为推动老年抚养比上行的主要力量。
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“大展宏图”系列研究一：老龄化是通胀还是通缩力量？-260223（32页）.pdf
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