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有关中国自然利率水平估计的相关研究成果
有关中国自然利率水平估计的相关研究成果
行业数据
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所属报告：
宏观经济研究：模型视角下的中国利率、物价与经济-241008（48页）.pdf
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图 1.1.2中医药领域全球前 10%高被引研究成果产出概览与五年
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行业数据
2026-01-14
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过去五年（2020年1月至2025年4月），全球范围内高影响因子期刊代表性研究成果分析
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行业数据
2025-12-16
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表3全球光钟领域代表性研究成果
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行业数据
2025-12-15
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研究成果在25年ACC“最新突破性研究专场”公布，利用AI技术进行无创伤、全自动地测定冠脉血流，以精准
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2025-08-13
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美图影像研究院（MTLab）2023-2025部分技术成果
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2025-06-23
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国内灵巧手研究成果
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2025-05-15
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表18.真空玻璃技术研发壁垒以及现阶段研究成果
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2025-04-11
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图2.0》2023年度评估成果，国泰君安证券研究
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2025-01-09
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丰茂股份核心技术人员主要研究成果（研究结果统计截至23H1）
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2024-05-21
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ISPAOnline2022上展示最新研究成果
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2024-02-22
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Unitree在CES2024展示研究成果
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在以上论文中，自然利率的指标选择也不同。孙国峰（2021）将贷款利率作为首选指标，李宏瑾等（2016）将隔夜回购利率作为自然利率的对标利率；还有其他研究是用 6 个月贷款利率等。我们在前期一系列报告中发现，中国利率体系分割较为严重，传导并不顺畅。比如存款利率决定了存款市场，贷款利率决定了贷款市场一样，存款和贷款利率因为存在息差而造成两者并不完全同步。为了更好的体现市场利率的变动，本文分别选用七天回购利率和贷款利率测算自然利率，其中贷款利率参照 2023 年 12 月发布的《中国货币调控机制的转型》，由两阶段利率组成1。
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宏观经济研究：模型视角下的中国利率、物价与经济-241008（48页）.pdf
三种模型下的GDP增长路径（亿元，1978基期）
三种模型下的人均消费增长路径（倍）
三种模型下的单位劳动产出增长路径（倍）
三种模型下的单位劳动消费增长路径（倍）
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