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国内经济基本面或延续弱复苏，稳中有进
国内经济基本面或延续弱复苏，稳中有进
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所属报告：
主题策略-景气投资策略在港股的应用-251024（20页）.pdf
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出行链驱动量对酒店基本面的相关系数（每格为“趋势口径/平稳口径”，2023年以来周频、剔极端段）
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行业数据
2026-06-24
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本轮人民币升值并不是国内经济基本面导致的
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行业数据
2026-06-02
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人民币走强与国内基本面关系不大时，汇兑损失可能会影响持股体验
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行业数据
2026-06-02
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表22、国有企业/混改企业基本面及事件梳理
fCDpm4blm6IgICAgICAgfCDkvIHkuJogICAgIHwgMjAyMSAtIDIwMjXlubTmlLblhaXlpI3lkIjlop7pgJ8gfCAyMDIxIC0gMjAyNeW5tOW9kuavjeWHgOWIqea2puWkjeWQiOWinumAnyB8IDIwMjXlubRST0XvvIjliqDmnYPvvIkgfCAyMDI15bm0546w6YeR5YiG57qi546HIHwg4oCc5Y2B5Zub5LqU4oCd5pyf6Ze05LqL5Lu25qaC6L+wICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwtLS0tLS0tLS0tLS18LS0tLS0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS18LS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS18LS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS18Cnwg5Y2O5ram57O7ICAgICB8IOS4nOmYv+mYv+iDtiB8IDE1JSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCA0MSUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDE3JSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDEwMCUgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAyMDIy5bm0566h55CG5bGC5Y+Y5Yqo77yMMjAyNOW5tOeuoeeQhuWxguWPmOWKqO+8jDIwMjXlubTogqHmnYPmv4DlirHokL3lnLDvvIzmjqfogqHogqHkuJzlop7mjIEgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IOWNjua2puezuyAgICAgfCDljY7mtqbkuInkuZ0gfCAxOSUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMTQlICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAxNiUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCA1MSUgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMjAyMeW5tOeuoeeQhuWxguWPmOWKqOOAgeiCoeadg+a/gOWKsSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IOWNjua2puezuyAgICAgfCDmmIboja/pm4blm6IgfCAtNiUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgLTklICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCA3JSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAzOSUgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMjAyM+W5tOWunuaOp+S6uuWPmOabtOOAgeeuoeeQhuWxguWPmOWKqO+8jDIwMjTlubTlj5HluIPkupTlubTop4TliJIgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8Cnwg5Y2O5ram57O7ICAgICB8IOWkqeWjq+WKmyAgIHwgMSUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IC0xNyUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgOSUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgNDIlICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDIwMjXlubTlrp7mjqfkurrlj5jmm7QgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8Cnwg5Y2O5ram57O7ICAgICB8IOWNjua2puaxn+S4rSB8IDEwJSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAxNiUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDIzJSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDk3JSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAyMDIx5bm056ys5LiA5pyf6IKh5p2D5r+A5Yqx77yMMjAyMuW5tOeuoeeQhuWxguWPmOWKqO+8jDIwMjXlubTnrKzkuozmnJ/ogqHmnYPmv4DlirHokL3lnLDvvIzmjqfogqHogqHkuJzlop7mjIEgICAgICAgICB8Cnwg5Zu96I2v57O7ICAgICB8IOWkquaegembhuWboiB8IC00JSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAyMiUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDMlICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAlICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAyMDIx5bm05a6e5o6n5Lq65Y+Y5pu044CB566h55CG5bGC5Y+Y5Yqo77yMMjAyNOW5tOeuoeeQhuWxguWPmOabtCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IOWcsOaWueWbveS8gS/mt7fmlLnkvIHkuJogfCDlkIzku4HloIIgICB8IDQlICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAtMSUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDklICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDU4JSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAyMDIx5bm0566h55CG5bGC5Y+Y5Yqo77yMMjAyNOW5tOmbhuWboueuoeeQhuWxguWPmOWKqCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8Cnwg5Zyw5pa55Zu95LyBL+a3t+aUueS8geS4miB8IOW6t+aBqei0nSAgIHwgMCUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IC0zMCUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgNyUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgODAlICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDIwMjDlubTlrp7mjqfkurrlj5jmm7TvvIwyMDI05bm0566h55CG5bGC5Y+Y5YqoICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8Cnwg5Zyw5pa55Zu95LyBL+a3t+aUueS8geS4miB8IOW6t+e+juiNr+S4miB8IDYlICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAtODElICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAlICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAlICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAyMDIx5bm05a6e5o6n5Lq65Y+Y5pu077yMMjAyMuW5tOeuoeeQhuWxguWPmOWKqCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IOWcsOaWueWbveS8gS/mt7fmlLnkvIHkuJogfCDkvZvmhYjliLboja8gfCAzJSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgLTE1JSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAzJSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAyMSUgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMjAyM+W5tOWunuaOp+S6uuWPmOabtO+8jDIwMjTlubTnrqHnkIblsYLlj5jliqggICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCDlnLDmlrnlm73kvIEv5re35pS55LyB5LiaIHwg5bm/6KqJ6L+cICAgfCA2JSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMzMlICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCA0JSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAwJSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMjAyMeW5tOWunuaOp+S6uuWPmOabtOOAgeeuoeeQhuWxguWPmOWKqO+8jDIwMjPlubTnrqHnkIblsYLlj5jliqggICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCDlnLDmlrnlm73kvIEv5re35pS55LyB5LiaIHwg55m95LqR5bGxICAgfCAzJSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgLTUlICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCA4JSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCA0NiUgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMjAyNOW5tOeuoeeQhuWxguWPmOWKqCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCDlnLDmlrnlm73kvIEv5re35pS55LyB5LiaIHwg5Y2D6YeR6I2v5LiaIHwg4oCUICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwg4oCUICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDEwJSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDY2JSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAyMDIx5bm06IKh5p2D5r+A5Yqx77yMMjAyM+W5tOeuoeeQhuWxguWPmOWKqOOAgeWPkeW4gzIwMjTlubQgLSAyMDMx5bm05oiY55Wl6KeE5YiSICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IOWcsOaWueWbveS8gS/mt7fmlLnkvIHkuJogfCDkuZ3oip3loIIgICB8IC0xMiUgICAgICAg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行业数据
2026-05-11
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2012-2017年白酒行业基本面与股价复盘
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行业数据
2026-04-13
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2021~2024年东鹏饮料基本面及估值面复盘
fCDmjIfmoIcgICAgICAgICAgIHwg5pWw5YC8ICAgfAp8LS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS0tLXwKfCDogqHku7fkuIrmtqjlgI3mlbAgICB8IDEuMCAgICB8Cnwg5pS25YWl5aKe6ZW/5YCN5pWwICAgfCAxLjMgICAgfAp8IOWHgOWIqeeOh+WinumVv+WAjeaVsCB8IDIyLjklICB8Cnwg5biC55uI546H5aKe6ZW/5YCN5pWwIHwgLTUwJSAgIHwKfCDogqHmlbDlop7plb/lgI3mlbAgICB8IDM2JSAgICB8CgrotYTmlpnmnaXmupDvvJpXaW5kLCDmlrnmraPor4HliLjnoJTnqbbmiYA=
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行业数据
2026-03-11
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1997~2024年怪物饮料基本面及估值面复盘
fCDmjIfmoIcgICAgICAgICB8IOaVsOWAvCAgIHwKfC0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tfC0tLS0tLS0tfAp8IOiCoeS7t+S4iua2qOWAjeaVsCB8IDI4LjAgICB8Cnwg5pS25YWl5aKe6ZW/5YCN5pWwIHwgMTczLjAgIHwKfCDlh4DliKnnjoflop7plb/lgI3mlbAgfCA1LjkgICAgfAp8IOiCoeaVsOWinumVv+WAjeaVsCB8IDEwNC4zICB8CgrotYTmlpnmnaXmupDvvJpXaW5kLCDmlrnmraPor4HliLjnoJTnqbbmiYA=
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行业数据
2026-03-11
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各行业基本面跟踪情况
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行业数据
2026-03-10
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?用 谢大华户名户号电表原列040503113513000100 温控首页我的桌酒现场调试趣机来集用广散据查面基本档案电能示值电表列表5130000012941114电压电线电流询线功率商线开始日期2023-12-20表码曲线最大需量电量负荷购电信息束日期2023-12-26 用电经学 全事科信息 施工时间 办事项Q童询业务说明
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主题策略-景气投资策略在港股的应用-251024（20页）.pdf
不同景气水平分组下的中介机构持股比例（%）
景气投资有效性偏强阶段，超额收益靠前的行业多有比较明确的产业趋势和政策支撑
经济预期稳定、基本面偏强、中美利差（中国-美国）走扩阶段，港股的景气投资有效性相对更高
港交所、美国SEC对中资股财报披露的要求（以会计年结日为12月31日的公司为例）
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