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中国海上光伏边框用玻纤需求测算
中国海上光伏边框用玻纤需求测算
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所属报告：
玻璃玻纤行业玻纤粗纱供需拆分： 供强需弱持续筑底-231211（30页）.pdf
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行业数据
2026-05-28
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2010-2025年中国海洋生产总值
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2026-05-25
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20-26Q1样本玻纤企业营业收入
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行业数据
2026-05-15
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20-26Q1样本玻纤企业扣非归母净利
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2026-05-15
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中国海外宏洋集团2026-2028E盈利预测
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2026-05-13
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图27、玻纤行业生产企业库存（万吨）
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2026-05-11
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图20、2012-2025国内玻纤总产量及增速
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2026-05-11
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海上光伏边框用玻纤需求测算：1）我们统计了目前山东、江苏、福建、浙江、天津等省市发布的关于海上光伏项目的建设规划，预计截至 2025 年国内将达成至少 17.7GW 的海上光伏装机容量，对应到2023-2025年分别的装机容量至少为4.7GW、6.6GW、2.6GW。2）假设 2023-2025年复合材料边框在海上光伏场景的应用比例分别为 0%、20%、50%。3）其他关于组件尺寸及玻纤用量的假设与上文保持一致，综上推算出 2023-2025 年国内海上光伏边框用玻纤需求量分别为 0 万吨、0.8 万吨、0.8 万吨。展望远期，据理论研究测算我国大陆海岸线长 1.8 万公里，可安装海上光伏的海域面积约为 71 万平方公里，按照 1/1000 的比例估算，可安装海上光伏装机规模超 70GW，若届时复合材料边框基本占领海上光伏市场，则可拉动的玻纤用量约为 41.3 万吨。
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