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所属报告：

CWIEME Berlin：2026变压器需求激增、供应链断裂下公用事业的破局之道研究报告（英文版）（26页）.pdf

打包全文图表

4.4全球生产能力增长预测预计到2024年至2030年，全球生产容量扩展将以2%的中东和非洲地区，尤其是沙特阿拉伯，正在迅速年复合增长率稳步增长，达到近4 M MVA的生产能力。在政府强制本地化政策下扩大。像SPTC、Volta 几乎~40%的扩展已得到了已宣布投资的支持。日益增 mp和Elsewedy这样的公司正在建立新设施，中加的电气化、可再生能源整合、电网升级及关键区域的南美呈现适度增长，巴西和哥伦比亚作为服务国内和亚太地区仍然是全球生产能力的中心，预计在2024和到2030年，全球大型电力变压器（LPT）的利用率预计 2030年将贡献超过65%的全球变压器总容量。中国韩国和印度处于前沿，不仅满足区域需求，还充当向相比之下，当前利用率约为55%的中小型电力变压器（欧洲、中东和非洲及美洲的重要出口中心 SMPT）市场将略微改善至约65%，反映出供应基础已趋于饱和。预计到2030年，北美市场的大型电力变压器生产能力将翻倍，这得益于基础设施的大规模投资、供应 OEM应将LPT投资重点放在北美、中东及非洲(MEA) 链本地化和美国政策支持。相反，小型电力变压器以及欧洲和亚太地区以出口为导向的中心，同时在SMP 的生产将维持自给自足，但预计不会显著增长。 T投资上要谨慎考虑目前的过剩和利润压力。能源、西门子能源、LS电气和HD现代电气突显了未来竞欧洲预计将保持3%的稳定增长。欧洲继续作为- 争压力和供应链韧性的出现。个高端出口基地，特别是为服务海外市场的大型电力变压器，同时也扩大SMPT产能以支持分散的可再生能源资产。

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