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图表42016年以来，保险资金配置增量、超长债净融
图表42016年以来，保险资金配置增量、超长债净融
行业数据
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所属报告：
债券周报：熊陡行情的历史复盘与当下思考-251207（24页）.pdf
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对比2025年9-12月，2026年前4个月全球股债ETF净流入放缓，中国是主要净流出地区
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行业数据
2026-06-02
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2025年下半年以来日韩、中国台湾、中南美股债ETF净
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行业数据
2026-06-02
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美债净发行规模本周上升
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市场规模
2026-05-25
原图定位
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图表46城投债净融资规模
fCDlubTku70gfCDln47mipXlgLrlh4Dono3otYTvvIjkur/vvIkgfAp8LS0tLS0tfC0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLXwKfCAyMDAzIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgMjAwNCB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDIwMDUgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCAyMDA2IHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgMjAwNyB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDIwMDggfCAzMDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCAyMDA5IHwgMTEwMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgMjAxMCB8IDE1MDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDIwMTEgfCAxODAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCAyMDEyIHwgNDUwMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgMjAxMyB8IDQ1MDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDIwMTQgfCA4NTAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCAyMDE1IHwgNjgwMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgMjAxNiB8IDEyMDAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDIwMTcgfCA1NjAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCAyMDE4IHwgMjIwMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgMjAxOSB8IDkwMDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDIwMjAgfCAxNzAwMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCAyMDIxIHwgMTgwMDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgMjAyMiB8IDc4MDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDIwMjMgfCA4NTAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCAyMDI0IHwgLTU1MDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgMjAyNSB8IC01NTAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAoK6LWE5paZ5p2l5rqQ77yaV2luZO+8jOWNjuWIm+ivgeWIuA==
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一方面，30y 供需结构偏弱，带动利差显著走扩。在银行久期指标面临压力的情况下，超长债的主要承接方以保险资金为主，2025 年保险资金配债增量预计为 3.2 万亿元，结束了连续三年的增长趋势，而供给端超长债净融资额持续放量，供需缺口逐步拉大，导致 30 年超长债的市场流动性与配置承接力不足，带动利差整体走扩。
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债券周报：熊陡行情的历史复盘与当下思考-251207（24页）.pdf
图表9历轮赎回潮的演绎情况
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图表7基金净买入10y以上债券的占比回落
图表6债券基金和货币基金配债变化
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