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表3利润分配敏感性分析
表3利润分配敏感性分析
行业数据
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所属报告：
中国光伏行业深度复盘系列（上）：西照东升雄鸡一唱天下白-221221（34页）.pdf
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绝对估值相对折现率和永续增长率的敏感性分析（元）
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绝对估值相对折现率和永续增长率的敏感性分析（元）
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图表462028EG10.5占用率敏感性测试
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图表452027EG10.5占用率敏感性测试
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绝对估值相对折现率和永续增长率的敏感性分析（横/纵轴：折现率/永续增长率）
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绝对估值相对折现率和永续增长率的敏感性分析（元）
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行业数据
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敏感性分析表（元人民币）
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2026-06-25
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国泰化工净利润敏感性分析
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绝对估值相对折现率和永续增长率的敏感性分析（元）
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行业数据
2026-06-12
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绝对估值相对折现率和永续增长率的敏感性分析（元）
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2026-06-12
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表42023年底不同硅料、组件价格下，下游毛利预测（元/瓦）
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