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钢铁行业周度更新报告：节后需求仍有望逐步恢复增长-251013（28页）.pdf
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上周上海螺纹钢现货价格环比升 50 元/吨至 3260 元/吨，涨幅 1.56%；期货价格环比升 31 元/吨至 3103 元/吨，涨幅 1.01%。上周热轧卷板现货价格环比升 60 元/吨至 3400 元/吨，涨幅 1.8%；期货价格环比升 32 元/吨至 3285 元/吨，涨幅 0.98%。上周上海中板价格为 3450 元/吨，环比持平；上周冷卷价格为 4000 元/吨，环比持平；上周线材价格为 3580 元/吨，环比持平。上周受国庆假期影响，需求边际下降，库存环比上升。但目前仍处于传统旺季阶段，我们预期钢铁需求有望逐步恢复增长，库存则有望逐步恢复降势。展望来看，我们认为从供需两方面来看，需求有望逐步触底，继续下降的动力不强；供给端来看，即便不考虑供给政策，目前行业亏损时间已经较长，供给的市场化出清已开始出现，我们预期钢铁基本面有望逐步修复；而若供给政策落地，行业供给的收缩速度更快，行业上行的进展将更快展开。
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钢铁行业周度更新报告：节后需求仍有望逐步恢复增长-251013（28页）.pdf
图858月份发电量累计值同比增速上升（%）
图848月彩电累计同比增速上升（%）
图838月洗衣机累计同比增速下降（%）
图828月电冰箱累计同比增速上升（%）
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