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石化链中下游生产占比接近20%
石化链中下游生产占比接近20%
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宏观专题报告：油价飙升下的“供给冲击”？-260421（23页）.pdf
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图17 康养科技与产品产业链上中下游盈利能力
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产业链
2026-07-13
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国投电力/川投能源：雅砻江中下游水电站上网电量yoy与厄尔尼诺/拉尼娜事件关系
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行业数据
2026-07-01
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商业航天产业价值链呈“金字塔”格局，中下游环节利润率较高
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AI4S的“上中下游“产业链表，包括国内外、一二级。按照技术环节划分，方便投资者
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2026-02-02
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附图7-1万泉河中下游沿岸主要堤防防洪保护区典型溃口20年一遇洪水淹没水深图
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2026-01-15
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中下游行业中，电气机械（光伏等）、专用设备产能扩张放缓、产能利用率边际改善
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2025-12-23
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图17、127个军工标的分上中下游2022Q1-
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2025-12-17
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营养保健品上中下游产业链
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产业链
2025-12-12
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2025-12-02
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综上，油价飙升对中下游生产、盈利的负面影响或大于过往；该影响可能在二季度体现。经验上，油价每上涨 10 美元/桶，或推动石化链中下游成本率上行 70bp，对应工企整体利润增速回落 1.1 个百分点，石化链中下游、整体工业生产增速分别回落 0.9、0.17 个百分点。目前油价中枢已上行 40-50 美元/桶，或将拖累工企利润、石化链中下游、整体工业生产分别回落 5.2-6.8、3.5-4.4、0.6-0.8 个百分点。考虑到油价飙升过程中，新能源等出口优势或有增强，或部分对冲工业生产的回落压力；据测算，若油价中枢上行 40-50 美元/桶，新能源相关商品出口或带动工业生产上行 0.15-0.2 个百分点。此外多数企业采取“FIFO”成本核算，油价飙升对生产、盈利的冲击或滞后于二季度体现。
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宏观专题报告：油价飙升下的“供给冲击”？-260421（23页）.pdf
冶金链中游实际库存增速降幅超过下游
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上周，南华工业品价格指数回升
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