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中国无风险利率及主观贴现率（%）
中国无风险利率及主观贴现率（%）
行业数据
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所属报告：
宏观经济研究：模型视角下的中国利率、物价与经济-241008（48页）.pdf
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票据贴现利率与理财产品预期收益率（%）
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行业数据
2025-01-07
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上市险企风险贴现率（%）
5aW955qE77yM5Lul5LiL5piv5oKo5Zu+54mH5Lit55qE5pWw5o2u6KGo5qC85ZKM6LWE5paZ5p2l5rqQ77yaCgp8IOS/nemZqeWFrOWPuCB8IDIwMTIgfCAyMDEzIHwgMjAxNCB8IDIwMTUgfCAyMDE2IHwgMjAxNyB8IDIwMTggfCAyMDE5IHwgMjAyMCB8IDIwMjEgfCAyMDIyIHwgMjAyMyB8CnwtLS0tLS0tLS0tfC0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS18LS0tLS0tfC0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS18LS0tLS0tfC0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS18LS0tLS0tfC0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS18LS0tLS0tfAp8IOS4reWbveS6uuWvvyB8IDExLjAgfCAxMS4wIHwgMTEuMCB8IDExLjAgfCAxMC4wIHwgMTAuMCB8IDEwLjAgfCAxMC4wIHwgMTAuMCB8IDEwLjAgfCAxMC4wIHwgOC4wICB8Cnwg5Lit5Zu95Lq65L+dIHwgMTAuMCB8IDEwLjAgfCAxMC4wIHwgMTAuMCB8IDEwLjAgfCAxMC4wIHwgMTAuMCB8IDEwLjAgfCAxMC4wIHwgMTAuMCB8IDEwLjAgfCA5LjAgIHwKfCDkuK3lm73lubPlrokgfCAxMS4wIHwgMTEuMCB8IDExLjAgfCAxMS4wIHwgMTEuMCB8IDExLjAgfCAxMS4wIHwgMTEuMCB8IDExLjAgfCAxMS4wIHwgMTEuMCB8IDkuNSAgfAp8IOS4reWbveWkquS/nSB8IDExLjUgfCAxMS4wIHwgMTEuMCB8IDExLjAgfCAxMS4wIHwgMTEuMCB8IDExLjAgfCAxMS4wIHwgMTEuMCB8IDExLjAgfCAxMS4wIHwgOS4wICB8Cnwg5paw5Y2O5L+d6ZmpIHwgMTEuNSB8IDExLjUgfCAxMS41IHwgMTEuNSB8IDExLjUgfCAxMS41IHwgMTEuNSB8IDExLjUgfCAxMS4wIHwgMTEuMCB8IDExLjAgfCA5LjAgIHwKCui1hOaWmeadpea6kO+8muWFrOWPuOWFrOWRiu+8jOWbveS/oeivgeWIuOe7j+a1jueglOeptuaJgOaVtOeQhg==
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行业数据
2025-01-03
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1970-1995年日本贴现率及财政支出增速（%）
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行业数据
2024-08-02
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图表18台湾地区重贴现率（%）
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其它
2024-06-27
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日本连续五次降低中央银行贴现率（单位：%）
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其它
2024-06-24
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表34DCF每股价值对永续增长率与股票贴现率Ke的敏感度分析（元）
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其它
2024-06-03
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典目不同贴现率下的净现值（元）
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其它
2024-05-23
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桂冠电力绝对估值对贴现率/永续增长率敏感性分析（亿元）
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其它
2024-05-17
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最新数据
全球全年龄段奶粉市场规模（亿美元）
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2026-07-30
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全球酸奶及发酵乳制品市场规模（亿美元）
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2026-07-30
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全球药用级益生菌市场规模（百万美元）
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2026-07-30
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全球益生菌膳食补充剂市场规模及增速
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2026-07-30
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全球拥有AKK专利菌株的核心企业
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2026-07-30
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同理测算，日本和美国的风险厌恶系数也基本上在【0-5】之间，其中 2001-2021 年日本的风险厌恶系数均值为 0.33，美国的风险厌恶系数为 3.48，日本明显低于中国（1.66)，而美国明显高于中国。日、美两国在疫情期间政策带来的不确定性较小，因此对风险偏好的影响相对不大。
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宏观经济研究：模型视角下的中国利率、物价与经济-241008（48页）.pdf
三种模型下的GDP增长路径（亿元，1978基期）
三种模型下的人均消费增长路径（倍）
三种模型下的单位劳动产出增长路径（倍）
三种模型下的单位劳动消费增长路径（倍）
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