美国农业部（USDA）：2025巴西畜禽及产品年度报告（英文版）（39页）.pdf

1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:September 09,2025 Report Number:BR2025-0024 Report Name:Livestock and Products Annual Country:Brazil P

2、ost:Brasilia Report Category:Livestock and Products Prepared By:Camila Aquino Approved By:Joseph Degreenia Report Highlights:Brazil is the second largest beef producing country and the largest beef exporting country in the world.Post expects decreased slaughter in 2026,due to the estimated start of

3、the reversion of the cattle cycle in the second half of 2025.Producers are likely to begin holding cattle from the market starting in 2025,driving calf prices upwards.Record beef exports are forecasted for 2026.Domestic consumption is forecasted to decrease,as producers will prioritize exports,drive

4、n by strong external demand,devalued local currency,and challenges faced by foreign competitors.The swine industry is expected to increase in both production and slaughter in 2026.As a result,Post forecasts increased pork production,stable domestic consumption,and record exports in 2026.EXECUTIVE SU

5、MMARY Cattle Brazil is the third-largest cattle producing country in the world.Post forecasts calf crop at 49.6 million head of cattle in 2026,a five percent increase from 2025.Post estimates the start of the reversion of the cattle cycle for the second half of 2025.Producers are likely to start ret

6、aining cattle,sending prices upwards,as a result of reduced calf availability.Post forecasts a four percent slaughter decrease in 2026 following increased slaughter in the previous years.High cow slaughter is forecasted to decrease,as cow retention starts.On May 29th,2025,WOAH declared Brazil as fre