探索英国海上风电捕集价格的未来.pptx

1、Exploring the Future of UK Offshore Wind Capture Prices,Tasmin ChowdharyInsight by Volue,Wednesday 21st May 2025,Renewable Revenues,London,Tasmin Chowdhary,Market Expert UK&Ireland,Insight by Volue,Agenda,4,Production growth,Cross-border comparison,Capture prices outlook,Regulatory and Policy Update

2、s,Conclusions,14 May 2025,All-Energy Conference,Glasgow,Insight,The energy mix is getting greener and more weather-dependent.In markets with a lot of renewables,energy production relies on wind and sun forecasts.Volue provides reliable real-time data,forecasts and market analysis for all geographica

3、l areas in Europe with all time horizons from 15 minutes Intraday forecasts to 30 years of investment analysis.Check the analysis on our web pages.Feed the data into your own models through our API.1.8 billion daily calls to API,5,14 May 2025,All-Energy Conference,Glasgow,Offshore Wind Boom,6,14 May

4、 2025,All-Energy Conference,Glasgow,Offshore wind output increasing rapidly from 50 TWh in 2025 to 127 TWh by 2030 under normal weather conditionsCurrently 15 GW commissioned and 6.4GW under constructionRange of production outcomes increases in windy vs.calm yearsOptimal location:UK benefits from so

5、me of the best wind speeds in Europe of 9-10 m/s,Source:Global Wind Atlas,7,UK Sees Highest Capture Prices This Decade,Capture prices eroded in the late 2040s by cannibalization effect,UK consumers initially face higher average capture prices,Germany overtakes as premium market for offshore wind,14

6、May 2025,All-Energy Conference,Glasgow,8,However,Capture Rates Are Lower,Capture rate is defined as the capture price/baseload priceUK set to have lowest capture rates as higher production volumes weighs on revenue potential on the spot market The capture rate hits a low in 2030 but rises later in t