万宝盛华(MPG):2025年第一季度全球雇佣前景调查报告(英文版)(31页).pdf

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万宝盛华(MPG):2025年第一季度全球雇佣前景调查报告(英文版)(31页).pdf

1、 2024 ManpowerGroup.All Rights Reserved.ManpowerGroupEmployment Outlook SurveyGLOBALFINDINGS2025Q1Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the Survey*Net Employment Outlook results range from+100%to 100%Executive Summary40,413 employers across 42 countries were a

2、sked about their first quarter hiring intentions and closing the gender gap in the latest edition of the ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey.25%Global Net Employment OutlookCalculated by subtracting employers planning reductions vs.those planning to hire*.Unchanged since the previous quarter and

3、 decreased by 1 percentage point since Q1 2024.30%of companies say they havealready fully achieved gender equality,compared to 24%a year ago.Highest Global Hiring DemandInformation TechnologyFinance and Real Estate2Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the Sur

4、vey3Q1 Employment OutlooksExecutive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyGlobal Employment Outlook for Q1 2025Used internationally as a bellwether of labor market trends,the Net Employment Outlook calculated by subtracting the percentage of employers who anti

5、cipate reductions to staffing levels from those who plan to hire now stands at 25%.Global NetEmploymentOutlook25%of employers anticipate an increase in hiringanticipate a decreasereport no changeare unsure41%16%40%3%4Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the S

6、urveyGlobal Outlooks have remained unchanged since the previous quarter and weakened slightly when compared to the same time last year,dropping 1 percentage point.Changes Over Time-10-505101520253035402020202120222023202420255Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAb

7、out the SurveyHiring Expectations for January March by CountryU.S.34%Mexico32%Costa Rica31%South Africa31%China29%The Netherlands29%Switzerland29%Belgium28%U.K.28%Brazil27%Norway27%Canada26%Guatemala25%India40%Singapore25%Germany24%Ireland24%Finland22%France21%Colombia20%Portugal20%Italy19%Panama19%

8、Spain17%Sweden17%Taiwan17%Peru20%Japan15%Poland15%Czech Republic14%Hungary14%Greece12%Puerto Rico12%Trkiye12%Australia11%Austria10%Romania10%Chile9%Israel8%Slovakia16%6Argentina-1%Hong Kong6%Seasonally Adjusted,Net EmploymentOutlooks(NEO)25%GlobalAverage NEO-1%ArgentinaWeakest NEO40%IndiaStrongest N

9、EOExecutive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyStrongest and Weakest First Quarter OutlooksWith stable outlooks across the regions,employers in the North America(32%)region reported the strongest hiring intentions,followed by the Asia Pacific(27%),South and

10、 Central Americas(23%),and Europe,the Middle East,and Africa(19%).StrongestWeakestIndia40%U.S.34%Mexico32%Argentina-1%Hong Kong6%Israel8%7Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyYear-Over-Year Changes by CountryItaly+6%Japan+5%Hungary+4%Norway+4%India+

11、3%Ireland+3%South Africa+3%France+2%Canada+1%Israel+1%U.K.+1%Argentina+0%Germany-1%Czech Republic+6%Global Average-1%Slovakia-1%U.S.-1%Mexico-2%Poland-2%Spain-2%Taiwan-2%China-4%Costa Rica-4%Peru-4%Singapore-4%Sweden-4%Switzerland-4%Greece-1%Brazil-5%Romania-5%Finland-6%Panama-6%Trkiye-6%Guatemala-7

12、%The Netherlands-8%Portugal-8%Colombia-11%Austria-16%Australia-17%Puerto Rico-21%Hong Kong-23%Belgium-5%Seasonally Adjusted,Net EmploymentOutlook Changes Since Q1 2024+6%Czech RepublicMost Strengthened Outlook-23%Hong KongMost Weakened Outlook-1%GlobalGlobal Average Outlook8Executive SummaryQ1 Emplo

13、yment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyMost Significant Outlook Improvements for Q1Employers in 12 countries report a stronger hiring outlook compared with the same period last year,weakening in 28,and remaining unchanged in one.Czech Republic+6%Italy+6%Japan+5%Norway+4%Quart

14、er-Over-Quarter ImprovementsYear-Over-Year ImprovementsHungary+4%9Japan+3%Czech Republic+3%India+3%Sweden+3%Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyHiring Expectations by Company Size12%Less than 10 Employees22%10-49 Employees25%50-249 Employees31%250-

15、999 Employees29%1,000-4,999 Employees28%5,000+Employees10Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyGlobal Employment Outlooks Across Key Industry SectorsBusinesses in the IT industry reported the brightest outlook,improving by two percentage points since

16、 the previous quarter and the same time last year.37%33%27%26%24%20%15%14%10%*Government or Public Service;Not for Profit/NGO/Charity/Religious organization;Other Industry;Other Transport,Logistics&Automobiles Sub-Industry;Educational Institutions;Agriculture&FishingInformation TechnologyFinancials

17、andReal EstateEnergy and UtilitiesHealth Care and Life SciencesIndustrials and MaterialsTransport,Logistics andAutomotiveCommunicationServicesConsumer Goods and ServicesOther*/None of the Above11Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyEmployment Outloo

18、ks Across Europe,the Middle East,and AfricaHiring expectations remain the lowest in Europe,the Middle East,and Africa(19%),and has weakened by 2 percentage points since Q4 2024 and 1 percentage point year-over-year.Outlooks vary across the region with employers most keen to hire in South Africa(31%)

19、.The strongest Outlook globally for the Financials&Real Estate industry vertical was reported by employers in Belgium(53%,tied with employers in China).Consumer Goods and Services in The Netherlands(47%);Communication Services in Germany(45%);Energy and Utilities in Belgium and Finland(both 44%);and

20、 Industrials and Materials in Norway(41%).Strongest Hiring IntentionsWeakest Hiring IntentionsSouth Africa31%The Netherlands29%Switzerland29%Israel8%Austria10%Romania10%12Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyStrongest Hiring IntentionsWeakest Hiring

21、 IntentionsIndia40%China29%Hong Kong6%Australia11%Singapore25%Japan15%Employment Outlooks Across the Asia PacificHiring managers across the Asia-Pacific countriesanticipate the second strongest regional Outlook(27%),remaining unchanged from the previous quarter,but decreased by 3 percentage points w

22、hen compared to the same time last year.Employers in India(40%)continue to report the strongest Outlooks in the region,with most cautious in Hong Kong(6%).The strongest Outlook globally for the Transport,Logistics,and Automotive industry vertical was reported by employers in Singapore(67%).Employers

23、 in China reported the highest Outlooks for both Financials and Real Estate(53%,tied with employers in Belgium)and Healthcare and Life Sciences(47%).13Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyEmployment Outlooks Across the AmericasEmployers across North

24、,Central,and South America reported the strongest regional Outlook for Q1(29%),with hiring intentions improving 1 percentage point quarter-over-quarter but declining-3 percentage points from the same period last year.Employers in the U.S.(34%)reported the strongest hiring intentions across the regio

25、ns,with the weakest in Argentina(-1%).The strongest Outlook globally for the Information Technology industry vertical was reported by employers in the U.S.(53%).14Mexico32%Costa Rica31%U.S.34%Strongest Hiring IntentionsWeakest Hiring IntentionsArgentina-1%Chile9%Puerto Rico12%Executive SummaryQ1 Emp

26、loyment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the Survey15Workforce TrendsExecutive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveySteady Gains in Gender EqualityOver the past year,more companies have made progress toward gender equality.1610%23%41%24%8%19%40%

27、30%20242025202420252024202520242025A long way from full equalityStill reasonably far from full equalityGetting close to full equalityFully achievedExecutive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyMore Companies Advancing Pay Equities Nearly 3 in 5 organizations

28、(58%)report they are on track with their pay equity initiatives,improving 6%when compared to the same time last year.1758%56%Industrials&Materials57%Consumer Goods&Services62%Energy&Utilities57%Health Care&Life Sciences63%Information Technology64%Communication Services59%Transport,Logistics,&Automot

29、ive60%Financials&Real EstateExecutive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyAssessing Equitable Gender Recruitment&Retention PracticesTo understand whats driving progress in gender equality in recruitment and retention,employers shared insights on the strategi

30、es and benefits that are producing results.42%40%38%36%35%35%34%34%34%34%32%Helping gender equalityBuilding trusting relationships with teamsEffectively supporting employee well-beingImplementing policies to ensure equal career development opportunitiesRecognizing employees for fostering DEI efforts

31、Offering support for employees caring for children,or sick/elderly adultsMentoring and training employees across different working modelsTracking promotion outcomes for employee programsProactively communicating with teams across different work modelsAnalyzing DEI challenges to find solutionsMeasuri

32、ng the use and impact of flexibility policiesAuditing DEI policies and programs18Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the Survey19Outlooks by Industry VerticalExecutive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyCommunicatio

33、n ServicesThe global NEO for the Communications Services industry is 14%.This figure decreased since both the previous quarter and when compared to the same period last year by 2 and 16 percentage points,respectively.30%16%11%16%14%Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025DECREASEDYEAR OVER YEAR14%Communi

34、cation Services Net Employment Outlook:20Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyConsumer Goods and ServicesThe global NEO for the Consumer Goods&Services industry is 20%.This figure decreased since both the previous quarter and when compared to the sa

35、me period last year by 5 and 2 percentage points,respectively.22%19%22%25%20%Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025DECREASEDYEAR OVER YEAR20%Consumer Goods and ServicesNet Employment Outlook:21Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the Survey26%18%9%8%10%Q1 2024Q2

36、 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025DECREASEDYEAR OVER YEAR10%Energy&UtilitiesNet Employment Outlook:Energy&UtilitiesThe global NEO for the Energy&Utilities industry is 10%.This figure increased since the previous quarter but decreased when compared to the same period last year by 2 and 16 percentage points,r

37、espectively.22Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the Survey33%29%27%32%33%Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025INCREASEDOR EQUALYEAR OVER YEAR33%Financials&Real EstateNet Employment Outlook:Financials&Real EstateThe global NEO for the Financials&Real Estate i

38、ndustry is 33%.This figure increased by 1 percentage point since the previous quarter and remained unchanged when compared to the same period last year.23Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the Survey27%26%27%26%27%Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025INCREASE

39、D OR EQUALYEAR OVER YEAR27%Healthcare&Life SciencesNet Employment Outlook:Healthcare&Life SciencesThe global NEO for the Healthcare&Life Sciences industry is 27%.This figure slightly increased by 1 percentage point since the previous quarter and remained unchanged when compared to the same period la

40、st year.24Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the Survey26%21%24%26%26%Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025INCREASED OR EQUALYEAR OVER YEAR26%Industrials&MaterialsNet Employment Outlook:Industrials&Materials25The global NEO for the Industrials&Materials indus

41、try is 26%.This figure remains unchanged when compared to both the previous quarter and the same period last year.Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the Survey35%34%29%35%37%Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025INCREASED OR EQUALYEAR OVER YEAR37%Information T

42、echnologyNet Employment Outlook:Information Technology26The global NEO for the Information Technology industry is 37%.When compared to both the previous quarter and the same time last year,this figure has increased by 2 percentage points.Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustr

43、y OutlooksAbout the SurveyTransport,Logistics&AutomotiveThe global NEO for the Transport,Logistics,&Automotive industry is 24%.This figure has decreased when compared to both the previous quarter and the same period last year by 2 and 1 percentage points,respectively.25%16%21%26%24%Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3

44、2024Q4 2024Q1 2025DECREASEDYEAR OVER YEAR24%Transport,Logistics&AutomotiveNet Employment Outlook:27Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the Survey28About the SurveyExecutive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyForward

45、-Looking Statements This report contains forward-looking statements,including statements regarding labor demand in certain regions,countries and industries,economic uncertainty and workforce trends,including,trends related to gender equality and advancing pay equities.Actual events or results may di

46、ffer materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements,due to risks,uncertainties and assumptions.These factors include those found in the Companys reports filed with theU.S.Securities and Exchange Commission(SEC),including the information under the heading Risk Factors in its Annual

47、 Report on Form 10-K for the year endedDecember 31,2023,whose information is incorporated herein by reference.ManpowerGroup disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking or other statements in this release,except as required by law.Unique It is unparalleled in its size,scope,longevity and a

48、rea of focus.The ManpowerGroup Employment OutlookSurvey is the most extensive,forward-looking employment survey in the world,asking employers to forecast employment over the next quarter.In contrast,other surveys and studies focus on retrospective data to report on what occurred in the past.Independ

49、ent The survey is conducted with a representative sample of employers from throughout the countries andterritories in which it is conducted.The survey participants are not derived from ManpowerGroups customer base.Robust The survey is based on interviews with 40,413 public and private employers acro

50、ss 42 countries to measureanticipated employment trends each quarter.This sample allows for analysis to be performed across specific sectors and regions to provide more detailed information.Focused For more than six decades the survey has derived all of its information from a single question:“How do

51、 youanticipate total employment at your location to change in the three months to the end of March 2025 as compared to the current quarter?”Survey Methodology The methodology used to collect the data for the Employment Outlook has been digitized in42 markets for the Q1 2025 report.Survey responses w

52、ere collected from October 1-31,2024.The question asked and the respondent profile remains unchanged.Size of organization and sector are standardized across all countries and territories to allow international comparisons.About the SurveyThe ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey is the most compre

53、hensive,forward-looking employment survey of its kind,used globally as a key economic indicator.The Net Employment Outlook is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage of employers expecting a decrease in hiring

54、 activity.Running since 1962,various factors underpin the success of the Survey:29Executive SummaryQ1 Employment OutlooksWorkforce TrendsIndustry OutlooksAbout the SurveyFrequently Asked QuestionsWhat is meant by Net Employment Outlook(NEO)?The Net Employment Outlook is derived by taking the percent

55、age of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage of employers that expect to see a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter.A positive Net Employment Outlook figure means that,on balance,there are more employers who expect to a

56、dd to their headcount in the following three months than those who intend to reduce staff.What is Seasonal Adjustment and why is it used in the ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey?Seasonal adjustment is a statistical process that allows the Survey data to be presented without the impact of hirin

57、g fluctuations that normally occur through the course of the year,usually as a result of various external factors,such changes in weather,traditional production cycles,and public holidays.Seasonal adjustment has the effect of flattening peaks and smoothing troughs in the data to better illustrate un

58、derlying employment trends and provide a more accurate representation of the ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey results.How are companies selected for the survey?Employers are selected based on the types of companies and organizations they represent.We want to ensure that our panel is represent

59、ative of each participating countrys national labor market,so each countrys panel is built in proportion to that countrys overall distribution of industry sectors and organization sizes.Who do you interview in each company?The person we select to interview will be someone with a good overview of sta

60、ffing levels and hiring intentions within their organization.Normally this will be the head of HR or an HR manager.However,in smaller organizations,that person may be a general manager or even the CEO.30Workforce Consulting&AnalyticsWorkforce ManagementTalent ResourcingCareer ManagementCareer TransitionTop Talent AttractionVisit to learn more.ManpowerGroup Solutions Across the Entire HR Life Cycle

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