1、CoverResearch IntelligenceLooking Back and Ahead:Evaluating Risks to the US EconomyMarch 2025Krungsri ResearchContentExecutive Summary3US Economic overview for 20244Identifying recession risks from history7Assessing US economic risks from key economic,financial,and policy factors10Key risks to the U

2、S economy from policy uncertainty15Krungsri Research View18References19Unless explicitly stated otherwise,this publication and all material therein is under the copyright of Krungsri Research.As such,the reuse,reproduction,or alteration of this text or any part thereof is absolutely prohibited witho

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6、 and Ahead:Evaluating Risks to the US EconomyIn the past,the US economy has often faced the risk of recession following interest rate hikes,such as in 1989,2000,and 2008.At present,Krungsri Research has assessed these risks by analyzing both the real economy and financial markets while also consider