周南-电网交互型高能效建筑国家路线图.pdf

1、A National Roadmap for Grid-Interactive Efficient BuildingsNan Zhou,Senior Scientist,Technical Program Manager,Net Zero World Action Center,Lawrence Berkeley National LaboratoryApril 22,2024,BeijingIn China Energy Outlooks Deep Mitigation Scenario,overall electrification reaches 60%,led by buildings

2、 at 88%;industry only reaches 50%while transport is at 40%due to challenges electrifying some forms of trucking along with shipping and aviation.Note:Industry does not include electricity inputs to transformation sectorsElectrification in China 10%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%TotalBuildingsIndustr

3、yTransportElectrification RatesDeep Mitigation Scenario2020203020402050Increased building electrification for Cookstove Water Heating Space heating2203020502021Electrification of space heating(North)Average heating efficiencyNet zero energy buildings(share of the total building stock)Average cooling

4、 efficiencyDistributed renewable energy penetration in buildings20252Key Building Milestones Reference ScenarioDeep Mitigation Scenario2%2%3%10%5%24%15%60%2%2%3%10%4%20%6%45%97%97%97%128%97%128%98%166%250%250%262%270%274%290%298%370%4%4%6%6%8%8%16%25%Transition from fossil fuel-based heating to clea

5、ner alternatives is likely to disproportionately increase residential heating costshttps:/ gap in heating burden between different regions will be widened under a fosil-free scenario.The average heating burden in Heilongjiang Province is as high as 5.7%,which is 4.4 times that of Beijing.Annualized

6、cost of household heating per capitaWhy Grid-Interactive Efficient Buildings(GEBs)?Integrate the growing share of variable renewable energyReduce costs to replacing aging electricity system infrastructure and improve system reliabilityAssist in achieving decarbonization goals through reduced fossil