iGDP：2024支持碳中和实现的能源转型之路报告-基于能源政策模型（EPS China 2024）（英文版）（22页）.pdf

1、1 1 P PREFACEREFACE Steadfastly promoting the realization of the Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality target is not only Chinas long-term strategic goal but also a commitment to address global climate change.This endeavor is complex and challenging,demanding profound transformation and innovation ac

2、ross all sectors,that is,to move towards a high-quality development stage through optimization and upgrading of economic structure.The long-term trajectory of Chinas greenhouse gas emissions(GHG)and energy demand will be affected by multiple factors.Understanding and evaluating the impact of changes

3、 in socio-economic policies and measures requires rigorous analysis and a multi-dimensional assessment.The iGDP modeling team co-developed and used the China Energy Policy Simulator iGDP 2024(referred to as EPS China 2024)(EI&iGDP,2024)to simulate and analyze Chinas energy consumption and GHG emissi

4、ons from 2020 to 2060.The scenario settings incorporate Chinas Dual Carbon(Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality)1+N Policy Framework(referred to as 1+N Policy Framework)and future development trajectories.The analysis evaluates the carbon reduction potential of key policies at different stages,ident

5、ifies policy pathways that can support the realization of the Dual Carbon Target,and offers a quantitative analysis that aims to support the enhancement of low-carbon transition policy framework going forward.Over the past three years,by extensive and in-depth communications and verifications with e

6、xperts,scholars,and industry leaders both domestically and internationally,we continuously incorporated the latest findings and updated model setup to ensure the scientific rigor and timeliness of our research.However,we acknowledge that economic and social development carry uncertainties,and all mo