1、1 How will Language Modelers like ChatGPT Affect Occupations and Industries?Ed Felten(Princeton)Manav Raj(University of Pennsylvania)Robert Seamans(New York University)1 March 2023 Abstract:Recent dramatic increases in AI language modeling capabilities has led to many questions about the effect of t

2、hese technologies on the economy.In this paper we present a methodology to systematically assess the extent to which occupations,industries and geographies are exposed to advances in AI language modeling capabilities.We find that the top occupations exposed to language modeling include telemarketers

3、 and a variety of post-secondary teachers such as English language and literature,foreign language and literature,and history teachers.We find the top industries exposed to advances in language modeling are legal services and securities,commodities,and investments.Keywords:artificial intelligence,Ch

4、atGPT,language modeling,occupation,technology 2 1.Introduction Artificial Intelligence(AI)will likely affect the economy in many ways,potentially boosting economic growth and changing the way people work and play.The effect of AI on work will likely be multi-faceted.In some cases,AI may substitute f

5、or work previously done by humans,and in other cases AI may complement work done by humans.The effect on work will likely also vary across industries.Recent research by Goldfarb et al(2020)document that adoption of AI is relatively high in some industries such as information technology and finance,b

6、ut low in others such as health care and construction.Moreover,trying to understand how AI will affect work is like trying to hit a moving target because the capabilities of AI are still advancing.A prominent example of how AI capabilities continue to advance are the recent improvements in AI langua