美国农业部（USDA）：2026中国畜禽及产品半年度报告（英文版）（21页）.pdf

1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:February 19,2026 Report Number:CH2026-0018 Report Name:Livestock and Products Semi-Annual Country:Chin

2、a-Peoples Republic of Post:Beijing Report Category:Livestock and Products Prepared By:FAS China Staff&Victoria Dokken Approved By:Benjamin Boroughs Report Highlights:Post forecasts lower beef imports in 2026 as China implements a tariff-rate quota framework safeguard measure that caps import volumes

3、 amid continued weak demand.Post forecasts pork imports to decline modestly in 2026,as ample domestic supply and Chinas anti-dumping duties on EU pork raise import costs and weigh on demand.EXECUTIVE SUMMARY FAS China provides this reporting and analysis as a service to U.S.farmers,ranchers,rural co

4、mmunities,and agribusinesses in support of a worldwide agricultural information system and a level playing field for U.S.agriculture.Cattle Production:Post forecasts beef cattle production in 2026 to decline as herd liquidation continues and breeding cow inventories remain constrained.Although cattl

5、e prices improved in 2025,profitability stayed thin,and production efficiency limits any near-term recovery in calf output.Cattle Imports:Post forecasts cattle imports in 2026 to remain low,reflecting weak investment incentives under a subdued high-end beef market.Chinas live cattle imports contract

6、ed sharply in 2025 amid weak economic conditions and subdued food service demand.Beef Production:Post forecasts beef production in 2026 to decline due to fewer slaughter-ready cattle.Post revised its 2025 beef production estimate upward based on official slaughter and output data,while the underlyin