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世界白银协会:2025年世界白银市场中期回顾报告(英文版)(25页).pdf

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1、INTERIM SILVER MARKET REVIEWPhilip Newman and Sarah Tomlinson,Metals FocusNovember 13th 20252A brief summary of 2025Tariff concerns lead to surge in CME deliveriesEFP surge eclipses that of COVIDLiquidity squeeze develops in London,lease rates at unprecedented highsSilver price at record highResilie

2、nce of physical demandOne of the most dramatic years for silver in living memoryOne of the most dramatic years for silver in living memorySource:Bloomberg,LBMA,Metals FocusCME warehouse stocks off from record highsCME warehouse stocks off from record highsLondon vault holdings were increasingly allo

3、cated to ETPsLondon vault holdings were increasingly allocated to ETPs200250300350400450500550Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 Jan-22 Jul-22 Jan-23 Jul-23 Jan-24 Jul-24 Jan-25 Jul-25MozReddit squeezeLiberationDayFirst US flightssuspendedLiquidity squeeze,+50Moz drawdown0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%0200400

4、6008001,0001,2001,400Jan-21Jul-21Jan-22Jul-22Jan-23Jul-23Jan-24Jul-24Jan-25Jul-25Moz ETPs held in LondonOtherShare excl ETPs3A brief summary of 2025Tariff concerns lead to surge in CME deliveriesEFP surge eclipses that of COVIDLiquidity squeeze develops in London,lease rates at unprecedented highsSi

5、lver price at record highResilience of physical demandOne of the most dramatic years for silver in living memoryOne of the most dramatic years for silver in living memorySource:Bloomberg,LBMA,Metals FocusCME warehouse stocks off from record highsCME warehouse stocks off from record highsIdentifiable

6、 stocks Identifiable stocks growing importance of CMEgrowing importance of CME200250300350400450500550Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 Jan-22 Jul-22 Jan-23 Jul-23 Jan-24 Jul-24 Jan-25 Jul-25MozReddit squeezeLiberationDayFirst US flightssuspendedLiquidity squeeze,+50Moz drawdownCME 36%share against 19%pre

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根据《2025年银市中期回顾》报告,以下是全文关键点: 1. 2025年银价创历史新高,主要受关税担忧、EFP激增、伦敦流动性紧张等因素推动。 2. CME仓库库存从历史高点回落,但伦敦金库持有量越来越多地分配给ETFs。 3. 银价上涨,实物需求强劲,成为有史以来最戏剧性的一年。 4. SHFE和CME期货交易活跃,10月17日ETF估值达到670亿美元,10月20日ETF交易量达到1.25亿盎司。 5. 银价上涨,跑赢贵金属、部分基础金属、部分股票和加密货币。 6. 尽管中国经济疲软,但银价跑赢金价,金银比降至80:1以下。 7. 2025年银矿产量预计将保持平稳,为8.13亿盎司。 8. 全球矿山供应预计将保持平稳,北美和俄罗斯的增长被南美、澳大利亚和印度尼西亚的产量下降所抵消。 9. 银价上涨推动并购活动活跃,现金流预计将显著增长。 10. 银价上涨推动银价上涨,银价上涨推动银价上涨。
"银价创纪录,市场如何应对?" "银市紧张,投资者如何布局?" "银价飙升,需求为何坚挺?"
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