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美国农业部(USDA):2025中国畜禽及产品年度报告(中译版)(21页).pdf

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1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:September 05,2025 Report Number:CH2025-0165 Report Name:Livestock and Products Annual Country:China-Pe

2、oples Republic of Post:Beijing Report Category:Livestock and Products Prepared By:Jadon Marianetti and FAS China Staff Approved By:Eric Mullis Report Highlights:Post forecasts stable pork production in 2026 and reduced pork imports due to abundant domestic supplies.Post anticipates lower beef produc

3、tion and slightly higher imports to meet demand in price-sensitive segments.Retaliatory tariffs and unresolved facility registration issues continue to limit U.S.meat access to the Chinese market.2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY FAS China provides this analysis and reporting as a service to the U.S.agricultural

4、community,and to our farmers,ranchers,rural communities,and agribusiness operations in support of a worldwide agricultural information system and a level playing field for U.S.agriculture.Cattle Production:Post forecasts beef cattle production in 2026 to decline due to a smaller breeding cow invento

5、ry and persistently low calving efficiency.Many farms reduced breeding stock in 2024,and herd rebuilding has been slow despite a modest price recovery and continued government support.Cattle Imports:Post forecasts cattle imports in 2026 to remain low,in line with 2025 levels.Beef cattle imports are

6、expected to stay minimal,while dairy cattle imports will be constrained by weak milk prices,high costs,and reliance on in-house breeding systems among large operations.Beef Production:Post forecasts beef production in 2026 to decline modestly due to a reduced supply of slaughter-ready cattle.Post re

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根据报告的内容,以下为报告主要内容概括: 1. **猪肉生产**:预计2026年猪肉生产稳定,进口将因国内供应充足而减少。 2. **牛肉生产**:预计2026年牛肉产量将下降,进口将略有增加以满足需求。 3. **猪肉进口**:预计2026年猪肉进口将略有下降,受需求减弱和国内供应充足影响。 4. **牛肉进口**:预计2026年牛肉进口将略有增加,但增长将受限。 5. **生猪生产**:预计2026年生猪生产稳定,但母猪存栏量预计将下降。 6. **生猪进口**:预计2026年生猪进口将适度反弹,受高质量遗传需求支撑。 7. **猪肉进口**:预计2026年猪肉进口将下降,受需求减弱和国内供应充足影响。 8. **政策**:美国牛肉和猪肉在中国市场面临限制,包括延期续签注册和报复性关税。
** "2026年中国猪肉进口将如何变化?" 2026年进口趋势分析" 稳定还是下滑?"
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