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AICPA & CIMA:2025年第一季度美国企业经济前景调查报告(英文版)(24页).pdf

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1、AICPA Business and Industry Economic Outlook SurveyDetailed survey results:1Q 2025Management Accounting&Finance1Q 2025 economic outlook survey2Survey top line Overall Optimism U.S.economy optimism dropped significantly from 67%in Q4 to now 47%optimistic Organization optimism eased from 53%to 50%of e

2、xecutives now optimistic about their own company prospects Global outlook also gave back its gains falling from 41%to now 29%optimistic about the global economy overallExpansion Hiring Expansion plans held constant with 57%of executives having expansion plans;those with plans to contract their busin

3、ess also held relatively constant at 19%,up from 17%in Q4 Hiring plans are also relatively consistent with Q4 39%of organizations of all sizes now need employees;while 19%continue to be hesitant to hire;20%have plans to hire Revenue Profits Revenue forecasts eased from the rebound in Q4 of 3.3%,to n

4、ow a 3.0%projected increase looking forward from Q1 Profitability projections followed suit,easing from the rebound to 2.2%in Q4,to now a 2.0%profit increase being forecast for 2025Survey background Conducted between Feb 4,2025 Feb 26 2025 Quarterly survey CPA decision makers primarily CFOs,CEOs and

5、 Controllers AICPA members in business&industry 305 qualified responses4Q 2024 economic outlook survey1Q 2025 economic outlook survey4Survey highlights Inflation continued in the top spot on the Top 10 list;there was also a corresponding jump in the number of executives concerned about inflation fro

6、m 62%in Q4,to 72%this quarter Staffing issues continue to be significant with employee and benefits costs at#2,availability of skilled personnel at#3,and staff turnover at#10 Domestic economic conditions moved up from#5 to#4;Domestic political leadership returned to the top ten list in the#6 slotTop

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- **经济乐观度下降**:美国经济乐观度从上一季度的67%下降至47%,公司前景乐观度从53%降至50%,全球经济整体乐观度从41%下降至29%。 - **扩张和招聘计划**:57%的执行官认为有扩张计划,19%计划缩减业务;39%的组织需要员工,19%犹豫不决,20%计划招聘。 - **收入和利润预测**:收入预测从上一季度的3.3%增长降至3.0%,利润增长预测从2.2%降至2.0%。 - **主要挑战**:通货膨胀、员工和福利成本、熟练人员短缺、国内经济条件、国内政治领导、监管要求/变化、国内竞争、网络安全和员工流动。 - **IT和资本支出**:预计IT支出增长从3.2%降至2.7%,其他资本支出增长从2.9%降至2.0%,培训和发展支出从1.6%降至1.3%。 - **关税不确定性**:85%的受访者表示,关于拟议关税的业务计划不确定性水平为“轻微”至“重大”。 - **人工智能应用**:42%的受访者表示已经开始在核心业务运营中使用AI工具,29%在供应链管理中使用,25%在财务和战略中使用。
2025年Q1乐观度下降?" 2025年Q1计划如何?" 2025年Q1企业面临哪些挑战?"
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