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汇丰(HSBC):雅迪控股(1585.HK):港股公司研究-首次覆盖报告:给予买入评级:全球最大的电动两轮车制造商-250725(中译版)(32页).pdf

上传人: Kell****reet 编号:751201 2025-08-08 32页 758.73KB

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1、 Disclosures&Disclaimer This report must be read with the disclosures and the analyst certifications in the Disclosure appendix,and with the Disclaimer,which forms part of it.Issuer of report:HSBC Qianhai Securities Limited View HSBC Qianhai Securities Research at:https:/ Equity Research Report Find

2、 out moreHSBC12th Annual China ConferenceShenzhen|1-2 September 2025 Largest e2W maker globally with domestic market share of c25%thats set to rise on trade-in subsidy and consolidation Has strong brand recognition,operational capability and overseas expansion as sells in over 100 markets Initiate a

3、t Buy,with a target price of HKD18.00 e2Ws are starting to be more popular than the metro.We believe the market for electric two-wheelers(e2Ws)in China will keep expanding as more switch over to these electric bikes and scooters for their convenience and low cost.Already,some 400m units are running

4、in China(source:China Bicycle Association).Riders dont need to worry much about parking,traffic jams,or crowded subway cars.In Guangzhou,more people use e2Ws than the metro in 2024,an impressive feat as the city is home to the third-biggest metro in mainland China.We expect the national trade-in sub

5、sidy and new national standards(to be implemented in September 2025)to continue to boost short-term demand and lead to an acceleration in industry consolidation.Already,there has been a c3ppt increase in the top five players market share in 1H25(Ex.2),benefiting the current leaders.An industry leade

6、r with ability to scale and channel advantages.Yadea had c40,000 stores nationwide as of end-2024,which is c30%more than No.2 player Aima with c30,000 stores(source:annual report).In our view,this should help Yadea achieve above-industry growth as national subsidies are fully rolled out and market c

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根据文章内容,以下是关键点的概括: 1. Yadea是全球最大的电动两轮车制造商,2024年中国市场份额约为25%,预计2025年销量将达到57.5万辆,2034年达到700万辆。 2. Yadea拥有超过4万个销售网点,是中国最大的电动两轮车品牌,具有较强的品牌影响力。公司正在积极拓展海外市场,已在东南亚、欧洲、美洲等地建立销售网络。 3. Yadea拥有自主研发的核心技术,包括电机、电池和电控系统,并推出了第四代石墨烯电池和钠离子电池,具有较长的续航里程和更快的充电速度。 4. 预计Yadea 2024-2027年的收入和净利润复合增长率分别为18%和44%,主要受益于行业集中度的提高和产品结构升级。 5. Yadea的估值较低,2025年PE仅为12倍,低于历史平均水平14倍,目标价为18港元,较当前股价有42%的上升空间。 6. 主要风险包括政策不确定性、新产品需求疲软、产能建设进度低于预期、成本高于预期等。
中国电动两轮车市场前景如何? 亚迪集团在电动两轮车领域的地位如何? 亚迪集团股票值得投资吗?
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