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国际可再生能源署(IRENA):2024 年可再生能源发电成本报告(中译版)(216页).pdf

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1、RENEWABLE POWER GENERATION COSTS IN 20242RENEWABLE POWER GENERATION COSTS IN 2024 IRENA 2025 Unless otherwise stated,material in this publication may be freely used,shared,copied,reproduced,printed and/or stored,provided that appropriate acknowledgement is given of IRENA as the source and copyright

2、holder.Material in this publication that is attributed to third parties may be subject to separate terms of use and restrictions,and appropriate permissions from these third parties may need to be secured before any use of such material.ISBN:978-92-9260-669-5Citation:IRENA(2025),Renewable power gene

3、ration costs in 2024,International Renewable Energy Agency,Abu Dhabi.Acknowledgements This report was authored by Saied Dardour,Deborah Ayres and Lourdes Zamora(IRENA),under the direction of Norela Constantinescu(Acting Director,IRENA Innovation and Technology Center).The authors are grateful for th

4、e valuable contributions provided by IRENA colleagues,including Adrian Gonzalez,Binu Parthan,Diala Hawila,Faran Rana,Erick Ruiz Araya,Julian Prime,Simon Benmarraze,Yasuhiro Sakuma,Aakarshan Vaid(Consultant),Alina Gilmanova(Consultant)and Olga Sorokina(European Energy Link Group)in the preparation of

5、 this study.This report benefited from the reviews and comments of numerous experts,including:Ana Andrade(Direo Geral de Energia e Geologia),Ana Rovzar(Global Renewables Alliance/GWEC),Anjali Lathigara(Global Wind Energy Council),Bruce Douglas(Global Renewables Alliance),Christian Kirchsteiger(Europ

6、ean Commission),Christoph Wolter(Danish Energy Agency),Fabien Perdu(Ministry of Economy,Trade and Industry,Japan),Feng Zhao(Global Wind Energy Council),Guy Brindley(WindEurope),Hal Turon(KAPSARC),Jarett Zuboy(National Renewable Energy Laboratory),Joyce Lee(Global Wind Energy Council),Manuel Quero(Su

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根据报告的内容,本文主要概括了2024年可再生能源发电成本的趋势和特点: 1. **成本竞争力**:2024年,91%的新增可再生能源项目发电成本低于最便宜的化石燃料发电项目,其中陆上风电的全球加权平均LCOE为0.034美元/千瓦时,光伏为0.043美元/千瓦时,水电为0.057美元/千瓦时。 2. **成本下降趋势**:2010-2024年,主要可再生能源技术的总安装成本大幅下降,光伏下降87%,陆上风电下降55%,海上风电下降48%。 3. **技术进步**:电池储能成本从2010年的2571美元/千瓦时下降到2024年的192美元/千瓦时,下降93%。 4. **市场发展**:2024年,可再生能源新增装机容量达到582吉瓦,同比增长19.8%,其中光伏占77.8%,风电占19.6%。 5. **地区差异**:中国和印度的光伏LCOE低于全球平均水平,分别为0.033美元/千瓦时和0.038美元/千瓦时。中国和巴西的陆上风电LCOE也低于全球平均水平。 6. **未来展望**:预计未来5年,光伏、陆上风电和海上风电的总安装成本将分别降至约388美元/千瓦、861美元/千瓦和2316美元/千瓦。 7. **挑战与机遇**:可再生能源面临供应链瓶颈、地缘政治风险等短期挑战,但也具有巨大的成本下降潜力。
中国光伏成本为何持续下降? 欧洲风电成本为何居高不下? 电池储能成本下降背后的原因是什么?
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