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RBC财富管理:全球透视2025年展望报告:放眼未来(中译版)(34页).pdf

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1、Special reportGLOBAL Insight 2025 OutlookBeyond the horizonInvestment and insurance products offered through RBC Wealth Management are not insured by the FDIC or any other federal government agency,are not deposits or other obligations of,or guaranteed by,a bank or any bank affiliate,and are subject

2、 to investment risks,including possible loss of the principal amount invested.Produced:Nov.25,2024 11:53 ET;Disseminated:Dec.2,2024 15:00 ETFor important and required non-U.S.analyst disclosures,see page 32.RBC Wealth ManagementGlobal Insight 2025 OutlookContentsAll values in U.S.dollars and priced

3、as of market close,Nov.15,2024,unless otherwise stated.3 Market overview:Equity balancing actGains from the past two years could be a hard act to follow.6 Focus article:The“Unstoppables”Four powerful trends involving game-changing innovations and demographic changes are set to play out in the global

4、 economy over the coming decades.11 United StatesA more complex equity landscape and the potential for Fed policy shifts mean investors will need to be nimble in 2025.14 CanadaDespite potential headwinds,we are generally constructive on Canadian markets,though we expect less outperformance in credit

5、.17 United KingdomAmid efforts to stimulate growth in the face of economic challenges,we see selective long-term opportunities in both equities and fixed income.20 EuropeTrade and internal tensions are likely to play key roles in 2025,as potential tariffs and political disruptions cloud the picture.

6、23 Asia PacificAsias equity outlook will likely depend on U.S.tariffs,Chinas stimulus and Japans structural changes.Stable fundamentals support cautious optimism for investment-grade bonds.27 Commodities29 Currencies31 Research resources32 Required disclosuresRBC Wealth Management|3 Global Insight 2

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本文是RBC财富管理公司2025年全球洞察报告,主要内容包括: 1. 2025年全球股市可能延续过去两年的强劲势头,但需要经济和盈利增长持续。 2. 四大不可阻挡的趋势(AI投资增长、人口老龄化、可再生能源普及和大规模储能设施)将在未来几十年内改变全球经济,对投资组合有重要影响。 3. 美国股市预计将受益于经济增长和企业盈利增长,但需警惕政策变化带来的不确定性。 4. 加拿大股市受制于经济放缓,但银行股和能源股表现值得关注。 5. 英国股市估值处于历史低位,但面临来自美国的贸易压力。 6. 欧洲股市受美国关税影响,但有望从央行宽松政策中受益。 7. 亚太股市受美国关税和中国刺激政策影响,但投资级债券前景谨慎乐观。 8. 商品价格方面,预计原油价格波动,天然气价格受天气影响,黄金价格因低利率而上涨,铜供应紧张。 9. 美元预计在特朗普胜选后继续走强,但需关注其政策执行情况。
2025年全球股市展望如何? 人工智能投资前景如何? 2025年黄金价格走势预测?
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