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城市土地学会(ULI):2025年全球房地产新兴趋势展望报告(中译版)(53页).pdf

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1、1Global Outlook2NEW HORIZONSCHAPTER 2ABOUTTHE REPORTFACING UP TO REALITYCHAPTER 1EXECUTIVESUMMARYWELCOMECONTENTS3“We expect overall transaction volumes to increase substantially this year.Hospitality,retail,offices are a big part of this recovery.”US investment bankerEXECUTIVESUMMARY LONDON,UNITED K

2、INGDOMEXECUTIVE SUMMARYPREVIOUS NEXT4Inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates in some regions continue to cast a long shadow over global real estate as the industry weighs up the opportunities and risks over what promises to be a challenging year ahead.Political policy-making and geopolitical

3、instability are among inflations chief drivers,and they are uppermost in the minds of the industry leaders interviewed for this Global edition of Emerging Trends in Real Estate.The backdrop to the latest interviews included martial law being declared in South Korea in the final weeks of 2024,the sle

4、w of executive orders in the early days of the new US administration and political tensions created in the build-up to the election in Germany in February.These interviews reinforce the cautious sentiment evident in all three regional editions of Emerging Trends.This is an industry questioning how p

5、olitical decisions will influence monetary policy,economic growth and,above all,the wars in Ukraine and Gaza.As one global player says:“The overarching concern is political risk.”If anything,the geopolitical risk is greater now than at the start of the year,and it is keenly felt in the industrys cha

6、llenges around climate change and the environmental,social and governance(ESG)agenda.Despite the wildfires that tore through Los Angeles in January and the destructive flash floods in Valencia last October there has been a backlash against ESG regulations in the United States,and a reordering of cap

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本文主要讨论了2025年全球房地产市场的现状和趋势。文中指出,尽管面临通货膨胀和利率上升的挑战,但全球房地产市场在2025年仍显示出积极的迹象。具体来说: 1. 投资交易量有所回升,尤其是在欧洲和北美地区。2024年,欧洲的房地产交易量达到1888亿欧元,比2023年增长13.7%。北美地区的交易量也增长了11.3%。 2. 投资者对数据中心、物流、住宅等领域的兴趣增加。这些领域被视为房地产与基础设施的交集,具有巨大的增长潜力。 3. 办公室市场仍然存在分歧。在美国和欧洲,非核心办公室的命运仍然是一个问题。而在亚太地区,混合工作模式尚未完全普及。 4. 酒店业在经历了COVID-19疫情后强劲复苏。2024年,全球酒店交易量达到573亿美元,同比增长14%。 5. 环境、社会和治理(ESG)问题仍然是房地产行业关注的焦点。尽管在一些地区出现了对ESG法规的反对声音,但投资者仍然关注气候变化带来的风险。 6. 投资者对房地产市场的信心增强,尤其是在欧洲和亚洲。然而,在美国,通货膨胀和利率上升可能会对市场复苏产生影响。 综上所述,尽管全球房地产市场面临诸多挑战,但整体趋势仍然积极,特别是在数据中心、物流和住宅等领域。投资者对这些领域的兴趣增加,预示着未来的增长潜力。
2025年房地产行业面临哪些主要挑战? 投资者对哪些房地产子行业最感兴趣? 气候变化对房地产行业有哪些影响?
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