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国际能源署(IEA):2025全球电力市场报告:至2027年的分析与预测(中译版)(200页).pdf

上传人: Kell****reet 编号:612591 2025-02-17 200页 6.84MB

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1、Analysis and forecast to 2027Electricity2025The IEA examines the full spectrum of energy issues including oil,gas and coal supply and demand,renewable energy technologies,electricity markets,energy efficiency,access to energy,demand side management and much more.Through its work,the IEA advocates po

2、licies that will enhance the reliability,affordability and sustainability of energy in its 32 Member countries,13 Association countries and beyond.This publication and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory,to the delimitation of internationa

3、l frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory,city or area.Source:IEA.International Energy Agency Website:www.iea.orgIEA Member countries:AustraliaAustriaBelgiumCanadaCzech Republic DenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandItalyJapanKoreaLatviaLithuania Luxembourg Mexico N

4、etherlandsNew Zealand NorwayPolandPortugalSlovak Republic SpainSweden Switzerland Republic of Trkiye United Kingdom United StatesThe European Commission also participates in the work of the IEAIEA Association countries:Argentina BrazilChinaEgyptIndia Indonesia Kenya Morocco Senegal Singapore South A

5、frica Thailand UkraineINTERNATIONAL ENERGYAGENCYElectricity 2025 Abstract PAGE|3 I EA.CC BY 4.0.Abstract Strong growth in electricity demand is raising the curtain on a new Age of Electricity,with consumption set to soar through 2027.Electrification of buildings,transportation and industry combined

6、with a growing demand for air conditioners and data centres is ushering a shift toward a global economy with electricity at its foundations.The International Energy Agencys Electricity 2025 provides a deep and comprehensive analysis of all these trends as well as recent policy developments.For the p

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本文主要分析了2025年全球电力需求和供应情况,并预测了2027年电力需求、供应和二氧化碳排放情况。主要内容包括: 1. 2024年全球电力需求增长4.3%,预计2025-2027年将继续以3.9%的速度增长。中国是主要增长动力,2024年占全球需求增长的54%。 2. 中国电力需求增长超过GDP增长,2020年以来电力需求增速持续超过GDP增速。主要原因是工业部门电力需求增长,特别是新能源产品制造业,以及商业和居民部门空调、电动汽车充电和数据中心等需求增长。 3. 2025-2027年,全球新增电力需求预计将全部由低排放能源满足,可再生能源发电量将创历史新高。 4. 2024年全球电力二氧化碳排放量增长1%,预计2025-2027年将趋于平稳。中国电力二氧化碳排放量变化是最大不确定性来源。 5. 一些地区批发电力价格下降,但负价格增加表明需要更多系统灵活性。极端天气事件对电力系统的影响日益增加,提高电力安全至关重要。
中国电力需求增长的原因是什么? 数据中心在中国的电力消耗量是多少? 中国的电力出口量有多少?
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