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仲量联行(JLL):2025年全球房地产市场展望报告:五大预测(中译版)(10页).pdf

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1、Research|December 2024 1 Global real estate outlook Five predictions for 2025 The year ahead looks set to be a pivotal one for commercial real estate.While performance is asynchronous across geographies and markets and across asset types within markets on balance we believe the real estate cycle has

2、 turned a corner.Our recent Global Real Estate Sentiment survey is indicative of this shift.As of November 2024,we saw the strongest result in nearly three years.A majority of respondents are indicating they think conditions will improve further over the next six months.Most optimistic outlook since

3、 February 2022 JLLs Global real estate sentiment survey Source:JLL Research 2024 Thats not to say that 2025 will be an easy year.We are likely to see an unsettling level of uncertainty:economic,regulatory,fiscal and trade policies will continue to change and take shape,and we will be watching these

4、closely.Interest rates in most markets will proceed on their downward trajectory,but expectations for the speed and magnitude of change have proven highly dynamic and we expect to see signals of continued volatility.Events can supersede plans at any point and alter rate-setters expected decisions.An

5、d this is to say nothing of the ongoing and potential geopolitical conflicts around the world.Global real estate outlookGlobal real estate outlook 2 Interest rates expected to continue on their downward trend in most markets Market forward view of policy rates(%)Source:Refinitiv,JLL;based on OIS rat

6、es,Data from 06.12.2024 We think opportunities will be plentiful in the coming year,but to thrive in 2025,real estate participants will need to understand the details and nuances at the market,asset and space levels in addition to the secular trends.This rising tide may not lift all boats,so it will

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根据报告的内容,本文主要讨论了2025年全球房地产市场的五个预测。 1. 2025年,对需求资产的供应短缺将加剧,尤其是在美国、欧洲和亚太地区。 2. 2025年,投资者可能会获得早期优势,因为随着市场复苏,更多的投资者将重新进入市场。 3. 随着公司对投资组合需求的信心增强,决策过程将加快。 4. 多种因素将促使采取行动以减轻过时资产的风险。 5. 应对成本压力和能源安全将推动加速脱碳努力。 文章还指出,2025年将是关键的一年,市场参与者需要理解市场、资产和空间层面的细节和细微差别,以在市场中脱颖而出。
2025年商业地产市场预测 投资者如何在2025年获取先机? 企业如何应对空间过时风险?
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