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PitchBook:2025年美国风险投资市场展望报告(英文版)(17页).pdf

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1、1PitchBook Data,Inc.Nizar Tarhuni Executive Vice President of Research and Market IntelligenceDylan Cox,CFA Head of Private Markets ResearchInstitutional Research GroupAnalysis2025 US Venture Capital OutlookOur analysts outlook on the venture market in 2025PitchBook is a Morningstar company providin

2、g the most comprehensive,most accurate,and hard-to-find data for professionals doing business in the private markets.PublishingDesigned by Julia MidkiffPublished on December 16,p.2The demand-supply imbalance for late-and venture-growth-stage companies will remain above 2016-2020 trend averages.p.4Va

3、luation growth for the market will rebound.p.7An acute need for liquidity generation will spur an increase in acquisitions.p.9Unicorn IPOs will propel growth in venture exit value.p.12The secondary market will expand due to increasing demand.p.14Distribution yields will increase for the first time s

4、ince 2021.p.16VC fundraising activity will surpass 2024 levels.2025 outlooksKyle Stanford,CAIA Lead Analyst,Venture Capital Emily Zheng Senior Analyst,Venture Capital Kaidi Gao Analyst,Venture Capital Susan Hu Associate Quantitative Research Analyst Collin Anderson Data Analyst 22025 US Venture Capi

5、tal OutlookIntroductionOur outlook for US venture in 2025 is relatively stronger than what the market has produced in the past few years.Exits are projected to increase,and a moderate uptick in the number of large tech companies hitting public markets should be a major boost to exit value.That will

6、then increase distributions and provide LPs with the liquidity they need to reinvest into the strategy or balance their overall portfolio.We have long said that dry powder would continue to stabilize dealmaking,and it largely did at seed and early-stage deals.Not all those deals were a win for every

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根据PitchBook Data, Inc.的2025年美国风险投资展望报告,主要内容如下: 1. 2025年,晚期和风险增长阶段公司的资本供需比例将高于2016-2020年趋势平均水平。 2. 市场估值增长预计将反弹,但存在风险,如退出机会持续不佳或宏观经济波动。 3. 流动性生成需求将推动收购增加,但监管环境变化和公司整合成本等因素可能影响并购活动。 4. 独角兽IPO将推动风险投资退出价值增长,但公司可能因继续融资而选择保持私有。 5. 由于需求增加,二级市场预计将扩大,但市场集中化和标准化问题可能限制其增长。 6. 预计2025年首次分配收益率自2021年以来首次增加,但宏观经济变化可能影响公开市场。 7. 风险投资募资活动预计将超过2024年水平,但大型基金可能对整体募资势头贡献较小。
2025年美国风险投资市场展望如何? 风险投资退出方式将如何影响市场? 二级市场交易将如何发展?
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