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国际燃气联盟(IGU):2024年全球天然气报告(英文版)(84页).pdf

上传人: 白**** 编号:402057 2024-12-29 84页 12.70MB

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1、ForewordGlobal Gas Report 20242We present this flagship report on the state of the gas markets,which supply more than one-fifth of the worlds energy needs during a time of extreme energy uncertainty.The findings show rising energy demand across all regions,record-breaking coal emissions,and extreme

2、weather conditions,demonstrating an urgent need for more policy clarity around energy supply planning.Strong demand growth for gas underpins its crucial role in reducing global emissions,providing flexibility and resilience,enabling efficient,affordable,sustainable development,and supporting greater

3、 adoption of critical clean energy technologies,including the scaling up of renewables.However,the investment in natural gas and low-CO2 gaseous energy technologies is falling short of demand growth,which must be reversed.The energy transition represents a unique challenge for mankind.A journey that

4、 will not be linear,marked by great aspirations and many hurdles,from geopolitical tensions to technology disruptions and unforeseeable global economy developments.In this continuously evolving transformation,natural gas and related infrastructure represents a critical element of sustainable resilie

5、ncy for the global energy system,while new green and low carbon molecules will play an essential role to achieve a just and technologically neutral transition.Natural gas is priced at 10-50 USD/MWh to end users,significantly below oil products at typically 100 USD/MWh.Natural gas is also cheaper tha

6、n coal in America,and similar or slightly more expensive other places.However,CO2 emissions from gas is only 50%of the coal emissions and 68%of oil emissions per energy unit.The share of gas being accessible for global trade as LNG has grown from 0%in 1965 to 12%today and will be 18%within a decade.

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本文主要讨论了2023年全球天然气市场的基本情况。全球天然气需求在2023年增长了59亿立方米(1.5%),主要由中国、中东和北美推动,而欧洲和澳大利亚的需求下降。预计2024年需求将进一步增长87亿立方米(2.1%)。全球天然气产量在2023年增长了19亿立方米(0.5%),主要来自北美、中东和亚洲的增长,而欧洲和俄罗斯有所下降。预计2024年产量将进一步增长96亿立方米(2.4%)。全球天然气贸易在2023年也增长了,管道贸易增长了475亿立方米,液化天然气贸易增长了537亿立方米。全球天然气价格在2023年有所下降,但仍高于疫情前水平。全球天然气市场仍然脆弱,能源安全问题仍然存在。全球天然气需求增长趋势与一些能源转型情景假设不符,需要对未来的天然气供需平衡进行重新评估。
2023年全球天然气需求增长情况如何? 哪些因素导致欧洲天然气需求下降? 亚洲天然气需求增长的主要驱动力是什么?
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