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美国农业部(USDA):2024巴西咖啡市场半年度报告(中译版)(16页).pdf

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1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:November 19,2024 Report Number:BR2024-0035 Report Name:Coffee Semi-annual Country:Brazil Post:Brasilia

2、 Report Category:Coffee Prepared By:Marcela Formiga Approved By:Frederick Giles Report Highlights:Brazils MY 2024/25 total coffee production is forecast at 66.4 million bags,0.2 percent higher than the previous season.This timid growth comes in the aftermath of a strong period of adverse weather con

3、ditions in the main producing regions,which led to a decrease in initial estimates for the season.As a result,the country has experienced a decline in robusta production,which was offset by a slight increase in the expected production of arabica,which represents most of the total coffee harvest.Mean

4、while,coffee exports in 2024 have hit record highs as Brazil expands its share of the global market,occupying a gap left by other large producers,such as Vietnam and Indonesia.COFFEE Production,Supply,and Distribution Table 1 Production,Supply,and Distribution of Coffee Coffee,Green 2022/2023 2023/2

5、024 2024/2025 Market Year Begins Jul 2022 Jul 2023 Jul 2024 Brazil USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post Beginning Stocks(1000 60 Kg Bags)540 540 4620 4620 2885 1685 Arabica Production(1000 60 Kg Bags)39800 39800 44900 44900 48200 45400 Robusta Production(1000 60 Kg Ba

6、gs)22800 22800 21400 21400 21700 21000 Other Production(1000 60 Kg Bags)0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Production(1000 60 Kg Bags)62600 62600 66300 66300 69900 66400 Bean Imports(1000 60 Kg Bags)0 0 0 0 0 0 Roast&Ground Imports(1000 60 Kg Bags)75 75 75 75 75 75 Soluble Imports(1000 60 Kg Bags)0 0 0 0 0 0 Total I

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巴西2024/25年度咖啡产量预计为6640万袋,较上年度增长0.2%。其中阿拉比卡咖啡产量预计为4540万袋,增长1.1%;罗布斯塔咖啡产量预计为2100万袋,下降近2%。受不规律天气影响,咖啡产量低于预期,但总体仍高于2023/24年度。巴西咖啡出口量创历史新高,主要出口至越南和印尼等竞争对手国家。国内咖啡消费预计为2267万袋,其中2170万袋为烘焙/研磨咖啡,97万袋为速溶咖啡。咖啡价格大幅上涨,阿拉比卡咖啡价格较去年同期上涨近80%,罗布斯塔咖啡价格上涨120%。价格上涨提高了咖啡种植者的购买力,但消费者因价格高企而减少消费。
巴西咖啡产量预测下调 极端天气影响咖啡质量 咖啡价格上涨对消费者有何影响
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