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毕马威:2024年第三季度中国经济观察报告(英文版)(21页).pdf

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1、August EconomicMonitorIssue:2024 Q32 2024 KPMG Huazhen LLP,a Peoples Republic of China partnership,KPMG Advisory(China)Limited,a limited liability company in Chinese Mainland,KPMG,a Macau(SAR)partnership,and KPMG,a Hong Kong(SAR)partnership,are member firms of the KPMG global organisation of indepen

2、dent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Limited,a private English company limited by guarantee.All rights reserved.Key takeawaysChinas GDP grew 5%year-over-year(YoY)in H1 2024,reaching the target set at the Two Sessions earlier this year.In Q2 2024,the economy grew 4.7%,down from 5.3%in

3、 Q1 and lower than market expectations.Extreme weather,adjustments to calculations of the value of the financial industry,and sluggish domestic demand weighed on economic growth.The momentum of consumption slowed down with a decline in income growth.The growth of retail sales fell to 2.6%in Q2 2024

4、from 4.7%in Q1.At its July meeting,the Politburo pointed out that consumption would be the core engine to boost domestic demand.Consumption is expected to recover moderately in H2 2024.Manufacturing investments held up relatively well,with a growth rate of 9.3%in Q2 2024.The expansion of equipment r

5、enewals is expected to sustain robust growth in manufacturing investment.Growth in infrastructure investment dropped slightly to 7.2%in Q2 2024 from 8.8%in Q1.Government investment slowed down due to extreme weather and tightened fiscal spending.With issuances of local government special bonds and e

6、xtra long-term special treasury bonds speeding up,however,infrastructure investment is expected to remain robust.The property market is still struggling with weak sales and sluggish investment.Real estate investment declined by 10.5%in Q2 2024.To further raise housing demand and promote activity in

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根据报告的内容,本文主要概括了中国2024年上半年的经济情况。 1. 中国GDP在2024年上半年同比增长5%,达到今年两会设定的目标。但第二季度GDP增速下降至4.7%,低于市场预期。 2. 消费增长放缓,零售销售额增速从第一季度的4.7%下降至第二季度的2.6%,主要原因是收入增长放缓。 3. 制造业投资相对稳定,增长率为9.3%,其中设备更新政策发挥了重要作用。 4. 基础设施投资增长放缓至7.2%,政府投资因极端天气和财政支出收紧而减缓。 5. 房地产市场仍面临销售疲软和投资低迷的挑战,第二季度房地产投资下降10.5%。 6. 出口增长强劲,上半年同比增长3.6%,其中对新兴市场的出口增长迅速。 7. 政府预计在下半年采取更加宽松的宏观政策,以促进经济增长的恢复。
中国2024年上半年GDP增长情况如何? 2024年第二季度,中国消费增长放缓的原因是什么? 2024年下半年,中国政府将采取哪些措施来促进经济增长?
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