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世邦魏理仕:2024年英国房地产市场年中展望报告(中译版)(57页).pdf

上传人: Kell****reet 编号:173964 2024-09-04 57页 35.55MB

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1、UK Mid YearMarket OutlookIntelligent Investment2024REAL ESTATECBRE RESEARCHREPORT2CBRE RESEARCH 2024 CBRE,INC.Intelligent InvestmentMid Year Market Outlook 2024|UKContentsEconomic OutlookInvestmentSustainabilityOfficeIndustrial&LogisticsRetailResidential(Residential,Affordable Housing,Purpose-Built

2、Student Accommodation)01020304050607OPRE(Hotels,Leisure&Pubs,Healthcare,Senior Living,Roadside&Automotive,Self Storage)Data CentresLife Sciences0809102CBRE RESEARCH 2024 CBRE,INC.Intelligent InvestmentMid Year Market Outlook 2024|UK3CBRE RESEARCH 2024 CBRE,INC.Intelligent InvestmentMid Year Market O

3、utlook 2024|UKIntroduction2024 started with a renewed sense of optimism.While there was evidence of improved positivity with a pick-up in retail sales,consumer confidence,and a return to economic growth,there have been some less encouraging signs.Notably,the path of the inflation rate initially fell

4、 short of expectations as it all but levelled off,and investment volumes hit a record low.Still,as we find ourselves in the middle of the year,there are now stronger signs of a turning point.Now that inflation has reached the Bank of Englands 2%target,the likelihood of an interest rate cut in August

5、 is high.As the cost of living pressures moderate,consumer demand will rebound.Overall,the improving economic backdrop is positive for both occupiers and investors,which should stimulate activity.And,we are no longer living under the spectre of an impending election.The Labour party won a landslide

6、victory,securing 411 seats.This gives the party a clear mandate and capability to drive its policy priorities.Our analysis of consumer confidence shows it increases in the period following an election in over 70%of the time.We expect this trend will be mirrored now and so the new Government will boo

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根据CBRE发布的2024年中英国房地产市场展望报告,主要内容如下: 1. 经济展望:2024年初,英国经济呈现乐观情绪,零售销售、消费者信心和经济增长均有所回升。然而,通货膨胀率低于预期,投资量创历史新低。随着通货膨胀达到英格兰银行的2%目标,8月份降息的可能性增加。预计2024年全年GDP增长约1%,但下半年将有所加速。 2. 投资:房地产投资回报有所改善,工业和零售领域的资本价值停止下跌,全行业总回报转正。然而,投资活动仍低于过去十年的平均水平。预计下半年投资回报将继续改善,资本价值在所有领域都将触底,收入回报将继续推动总回报。 3. 可持续性:金融行为管理局(FCA)引入了反绿色洗涤规则,要求所有注册金融服务公司正确、清晰地传达任何与可持续性相关的声明,并能够提供证据支持。预计2024年将引入私人租赁部门的最低能源效率标准。 4. 办公室:对优质办公空间的需求仍然强劲,大多数大型办公租赁发生在新的开发项目中。预计下半年,由于优质空间的增加,办公室投资活动将有所改善。 5. 工业和物流:需求稳定,第三方物流运营商和制造业占主导地位。预计下半年,租金将继续增长,投资量将与去年持平或略有增加。 6. 零售:消费者信心继续改善,对个人财务的乐观情绪增加。
2024年英国经济前景如何? 英国房地产投资市场有何变化? 英国零售业现状及未来趋势如何?
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