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FAO:2024年作物前景与粮食形势报告(第二期)(英文版)(44页).pdf

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1、ASIACereal productionforecast 2017(%)-3.3No.2JULY 2024CROP PROSPECTS andTriannual Global ReportFOOD SITUATIONGIEWS-Global Information and Early Warning System on Food and AgricultureCountries/territories in need of external assistance for food45Global cereal production 2024 over 2023Asia+1.2Africa-3

2、.0Central America and the Caribbean-5.0South America+1.0North America-1.0Europe-1.0Oceania+9.8World+0.1+0.1COUNTRIES/TERRITORIES REQUIRING EXTERNAL ASSISTANCE FOR FOODFAO assesses that 45 countries,including 33 in Africa,nine in Asia,two in Latin America and the Caribbean,and one in Europe,are in ne

3、ed of external assistance for food.The severest levels of acute food insecurity are found in territories affected by conflict,including Palestine(Gaza Strip)and the Sudan,where local populations are also facing the risk of famine.Drought conditions in Southern Africa are expected to worsen acute foo

4、d insecurity conditions in 2024.LIFDC cereal production 2024 over 2023-0.4ISSN 2707-2223REGIONAL HIGHLIGHTSAFRICA Drought conditions in Southern Africa have engendered significant cereal production downturns in 2024,while in North Africa,particularly Morocco,belowaverage harvests are estimated due t

5、o rainfall deficits.In West Africa,favourable weather conditions are supporting aboveaverage cereal prospects in 2024,but ongoing conflicts in several areas of Sahelian countries and northern Nigeria remain a serious concern.In EastAfrica,although rainfall has been abundant,their erratic distributio

6、n and the ongoing conflict in the Sudan are likely to keep the aggregate cereal production below the fiveyearaverage.ASIA Pricedriven expansions in cereal plantings are underpinning favourable production prospects in Far East Asia,where the aggregate wheat outturn is expected to reach a record high

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根据报告的内容,本文主要概括了以下几个关键点: 1. 2024年,全球45个国家需要外部援助以解决粮食问题,其中非洲33国、亚洲9国、拉丁美洲和加勒比地区2国、欧洲1国。 2. 非洲南部干旱导致粮食产量大幅下降,北非摩洛哥因降雨不足粮食产量低于平均水平。西非天气条件良好,粮食产量预计高于平均水平,但萨赫勒国家和尼日利亚北部冲突严重。东非尽管降雨充足,但由于冲突和降雨分布不均,粮食产量预计低于五年平均水平。 3. 亚洲方面,由于种植面积扩大,远东亚洲的粮食产量预计创历史新高。中亚天气条件良好,粮食产量预计高于平均水平,尤其是哈萨克斯坦。近东亚洲预计粮食产量高于五年平均水平,但受社会经济挑战和高通胀率影响,农民获取投入品受限。 4. 拉丁美洲和加勒比地区,南美洲巴西玉米产量因天气条件不佳而下降,阿根廷尽管玉米产量受损,但预计仍高于五年平均水平。中美洲和加勒比地区因墨西哥干旱和海地安全形势恶化,粮食产量预计低于平均水平。 5. 北美洲、欧洲和澳洲粮食产量变化不大。
哪些非洲国家需要外部援助以解决粮食问题? 2024年,哪些地区的粮食产量预计会下降? 哪些国家因冲突和天气极端情况面临严重的粮食不安全问题?
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