奥雅纳（Arup）：2023货物运输的未来前瞻报告（中译版）（100页）.pdf

1、Future of Goods MovementForesightNovember 2023Future of Goods Movement2ArupNovember 2023ContentsMoving ForwardAcknowledgementsContactEndnotesIntroductionContext1 Understanding the freight systemGlobal goods movement systems mapRoadRailShippingAir FreightPipelinesUnaddressed challenges2 The future dr

2、ivers of changeNet zero and the need to manage overconsumption and wasteResilienceRole of different nations in manufacturing and consumptionTechnology and changing business and consumption modelsEnergy and industrial materials transition3 Future Implications and OpportunitiesScenarios to inform long

3、-term decision making and investment in freight networkA High Growth WorldA Consumption-Conscious WorldFuture mode-specific implicationsWhat are the prospects for shipping?What are the prospects for rail?What are the prospects for road freight(HGVs/LGVs)?What are the prospects for aviation?What are

4、the prospects for pipelines?34791013161921232426313539445456586266697478818486878889November 2023Future of Goods Movement3ArupWhy do we need to think about the future of goods movement?When most people think of transport,they think about their everyday experience using trains,buses,cars,or walking a

5、nd cycling to go to work,school,the shops,and other local and far-off destinations.Transport is about meeting their daily needs,getting access to services and goods,and meeting family and friends.However,there is another side to transport that is just as important,but which gets far less attention.E

6、very activity we engage in to sustain our lives,businesses,leisure,health,and relationships is facilitated by goods and resources materials,products,food,fuel,energy,assets.These goods are the end products of highly complex and largely invisible supply chain networks,all relying on extensively coord