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世界经济论坛:2024量化气候变化对人类健康的影响洞察报告(中译版)(49页).pdf

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1、Quantifying the Impact of Climate Change on Human HealthI N S I G H T R E P O R TJ A N U A R Y 2 0 2 4In collaboration with Oliver WymanImages:Getty Images 2024 World Economic Forum.All rights reserved.No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means,including

2、 photocopying and recording,or by any information storage and retrieval system.Disclaimer This document is published by the World Economic Forum as a contribution to a project,insight area or interaction.The findings,interpretations and conclusions expressed herein are a result of a collaborative pr

3、ocess facilitated and endorsed by the World Economic Forum but whose results do not necessarily represent the views of the World Economic Forum,nor the entirety of its Members,Partners or other stakeholders.ContentsForeword 3Executive summary 41 Understanding the link between climate change and huma

4、n health 51.1 Climate change and the IPCC scenarios 61.2 The negative impacts of climate change on human health 92 Quantifying the impacts of future climate events on public health 112.1 Methodologyfor the climate-related health impact matrix 122.2 Deep dives on health impacts of the sixweather-rela

5、ted events 183 Building climate-resilient health systems 353.1 Resistance and recovery,the two key pillars for sustainablehealthsystems 363.2 Why policies and incentives need to change to enable climate-resilient health systems 38Conclusion 44Contributors 45Endnotes 46Quantifying the Impact of Clima

6、te Change on Human Health2ForewordClimate change is having a profound impact on global health whether its connected to the dwindling supply of freshwater because of droughts,the increase in infectious disease in the aftermath of flooding or the toxic air pollution accompanying raging wildfires.There

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本文主要讨论了气候变化对人类健康的影响。主要观点如下: 1. 气候变化通过疾病和心理健康问题直接影响人类健康,尤其是对弱势群体的影响更为严重。 2. 预计到2050年,气候变化可能导致全球额外1450万人死亡,经济损失高达12.5万亿美元。 3. 气候变化将导致多种气候敏感性疾病,如疟疾、登革热和寨卡病毒等传播范围扩大,预计到2050年,将有5亿人面临这些疾病的威胁。 4. 气候变化将加剧全球健康不平等现象,非洲和南亚等地区由于资源有限、基础设施不足和医疗设备缺乏,面临更高的脆弱性。 5. 政策制定者需要认识到医疗体系对减轻健康后果的准备不足,采取行动改善医疗基础设施、人员和供应链,以应对气候变化带来的威胁。
气候变化如何影响人类健康? 未来气候事件对公共卫生的影响如何量化? 如何建立具有气候韧性的卫生系统?
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