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世界贸易组织:2023年全球贸易展望与统计报告(中译版)(28页).pdf

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1、Global Trade Outlookand StatisticsBAbout the WTOThe World Trade Organization is the international body dealing with the global rules of trade between nations.Its main function is to ensure that trade flows as smoothly,predictably and freely as possible,with a level playing field for all its members.

2、EmbargoThis publication is under embargo until 14.00 Geneva time on 5 April 2023.1ContentsKey points 2Trade volume growth 3Drivers of trade volume 4Trade developments in value terms 11Merchandise trade 11Services trade 11Other indicators 17AppendicesAppendix Table 1:19 Leading exporters and importer

3、s in world merchandise trade,2022Appendix Table 2:20 Leading exporters and importers in world merchandise trade excluding intra-EU trade,2022Appendix Table 3:21 Leading exporters and importers of commercial services,2022Appendix Table 4:22 Leading exporters and importers of commercial services exclu

4、ding intra-EU trade,2022Appendix Table 5:23 Leading exporters of digitally delivered services,20222GLOBAL TRADE OUTLOOK AND STATISTICSKey points World merchandise trade volume is projected to grow 1.7%in 2023 before picking up to 3.2%in 2024.Risks to the forecast are tilted to the downside,including

5、 geopolitical tensions,food insecurity,potential financial instability stemming from monetary policy tightening,and increasing levels of debt.Trade volume growth in 2022 was slower than expected at 2.7%following a fourth quarter slump,but still stronger than worst case scenarios considered at the st

6、art of the warin Ukraine.The value of world merchandise trade rose 12%to US$25.3 trillion in 2022,inflated in part by high global commodity prices.The value of world commercial services trade increased 15%in 2022 to US$6.8 trillion.Digitally delivered services exports were worth US$3.82 trillion in

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根据报告的内容,本文主要概括了以下几点: 1. 世界贸易组织(WTO)发布了2023年全球贸易展望与统计报告,分析了2022年全球贸易发展情况,并对2023年和2024年的全球贸易进行了预测。 2. 2022年,全球商品贸易量增长2.7%,低于预期,但仍然强于乌克兰战争开始时考虑的最坏情况。商品贸易价值增长12%,达到25.3万亿美元,部分原因是全球大宗商品价格上涨。 3. 2023年,全球商品贸易量预计增长1.7%,低于2022年的2.7%,但高于2022年10月的1.0%预测。2024年预计增长3.2%。 4. 2022年,全球商业服务贸易价值增长15%,达到6.8万亿美元。数字交付服务出口达到3.82万亿美元。 5. 贸易增长放缓的主要风险包括地缘政治紧张、粮食不安全、货币政策收紧可能导致的潜在金融不稳定以及债务水平上升。 6. 报告还跟踪了与贸易相关的经济指标,如主要港口的集装箱吞吐量、与经济活动相关的媒体报道数量以及商业航班数量,以提供额外的背景信息。
2023年全球贸易增长预测是多少? 哪些因素影响了2022年的贸易增长? 2022年世界商品贸易价值增长了多少?
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