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高力国际:2023年第一季度美国工业地产市场报告(中译版)(14页).pdf

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1、Industrial23Q1U.S.NationalHeadlineMarket Indicators Market Graph Q1 2023 OccupanciesHistoric ComparisonVacancy Rate 4.0%UnderConstruction621.8MSFOverall AskingLease Rates(NET)$9.58/SFKey TakeawaysIndustrial demand growth cooled during the first quarter from the robust pace set in the last two years

2、amid slower economic growth.Construction activity remained elevated,with 621.8 million square feet underway,equating to 3.6%of total inventory.The vacancy rate ticked up 30 basis points in the quarter to 4.0%,although it remains well below its historical average.YOYFORECASTYOYFORECASTYOYFORECASTYOYF

3、ORECAST3.5%Unemployment Rate 1.1%GDP-Quarterly%change yr/yr 3.48%U.S.10 Year Treasury Note 23Q122Q422Q1Total Inventory(MSF)17,346.117,231.216,916.0New Supply(MSF)131.1141.297.2Net Absorption(MSF)73.8123.5118.2Overall Vacancy 4.0%3.7%3.8%Under Construction(MSF)621.8657.2576.5Overall Asking Lease Rate

4、s(NET)$9.58$9.07$7.96Following nine straight quarters in which net absorption exceeded 100 million square feet,demand for industrial space moderated in the first quarter of 2023 to 73.8 million square feet.While completions rose 34.9%year-over-year to 131.1 million square feet,deliveries declined mo

5、destly from peak levels reached in the prior two quarters.The vacancy rate increased 30 basis points from the end of 2022 to 4.0%but remained well below its historical average level of 6.2%since 2010.U.S.industrial market fundamentals softened in the first quarter of 2023.Higher interest rates and u

6、ncertainty about the economy led to more modest levels of net absorption,and steady completions outpaced demand.While the vacancy rate ticked up from a cyclical low in 2022,it remains well below historical average levels.Asking rents also continued to expand,given still-tight market conditions.Howev

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根据报告的内容,本文主要概括了2023年第一季度美国工业市场的现状和趋势。 1. 2023年第一季度,美国工业市场的净吸纳量下降至73.8百万平方英尺,较2022年同期下降37.6%,但仍高于疫情前的季度水平。 2. 整体空置率上升30个基点至4.0%,但仍远低于2010年以来的历史平均水平6.2%。 3. 在建面积达到621.8百万平方英尺,相当于总库存的3.6%,显示出尽管经济放缓,但建设活动仍保持活跃。 4. 平均租金保持韧性,第一季度仓库/配送空间的平均租金为每平方英尺每年8.76美元,较2022年底前的高点上涨8.2%。 5. 预计随着经济增长放缓,工业市场的挑战将增加,净吸纳量预计将放缓,而某些市场的投机性建设水平迅速上升,可能导致这些地区的过度建设风险。
2023年第一季度美国工业市场表现如何? 哪些因素导致美国工业市场在2023年第一季度表现疲软? 预计2023年美国工业市场将如何发展?
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