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保德信房地产(PGIM Real Estate):2023年全球房地产投资展望报告(中译版)(54页).pdf

上传人: Kell****reet 编号:132517 2023-07-13 54页 6.36MB

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1、2023GLOBALOUTLOOKFINDING VALUE AFTER THE GREAT RESETMAY 2023INVESTMENT RESEARCHFor Professional Investors only.All investments involve risk,including the possible loss of capital.High Conviction Investment ThemesWe identify two categories of opportunities we believe are among the most attractive on

2、a risk-adjusted basis in current market conditions:PUBLIC MARKETSWith the correction in private markets still ongoing,REITs ofer an attractive entry point and the potential for taking listed names privateMEXICO INDUSTRIALAcquisition and development of Mexico industrial properties that service increa

3、singly value-added manufacturing industriesSTUDENT&SENIOR LIVINGOperational living sectors are set to benefit from strong age demographic tailwinds,and ofer potentially higher returns to investorsTARGETED GRADE A OFFICESTight supply and afordable rents support selective CBD investment opportunities

4、where ESG criteria are being metTOURISM-DRIVEN REAL ESTATERecovering cross-border travel is boosting demand for tourism-related real estate sectors like prime high street retail and hotelsLOGISTICSDemand for logistics space remains robust,driving equity and financing opportunities in prime markets,f

5、ast-growing segments and selected development projectsAFFORDABLE RENTAL HOUSINGThe resilient income streams generated by afordable housing are attractive,with worsening afordability and rising urban populations driving demandDATA CENTERSDemand for data centers remains structurally strong,driven by t

6、he secular growth of digitalization across all major economic sectorsLENDING INTO THE FUNDING GAPBank regulatory pressures and falling values mean a funding gap is emerging,opening up opportunities for nonbank lenders across the capital stackAMERICASEUROPEASIAPACIFICALL REGIONSEquity&Debt:Deploying

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本文主要讨论了全球房地产市场的“大重置”。由于2022年下半年全球利率的急剧上升,全球房地产价值正在经历一次重大调整。主要观点如下: 1. 利率上升导致房地产价值重估,不同地区和行业调整速度不同。欧洲和美国办公市场价值下降最明显,亚太地区调整相对温和。 2. 重估导致房地产收益率上升,但高通胀缓解了名义价值下降的冲击。过去一年,实际价值下降11%,名义价值下降6%。 3. 投资者应关注结构性机会,如可负担住房、数据中心和物流,这些领域受益于长期趋势。同时,债务投资机会增加,尤其是非银行贷款。 4. 投资者需要耐心等待,关注市场调整时机。在重估过程中,应保持谨慎,避免为投资而投资。 5. 多元化投资组合可降低下行风险。在下行周期中,行业和地区多元化至关重要。
房地产价值大调整后,投资者应关注哪些领域? 当前房地产市场的融资缺口对投资者意味着什么? 哪些因素将决定房地产投资在下一阶段的相对表现?
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