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美联储:2023年上半年美国货币政策报告(英文版)(73页).pdf

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1、Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemFor use at 11:00 a.m.EDTJune 16,2023Monetary Policy rePortJune 16,2023Letter of transmittaLBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemWashington,D.C.,June 16,2023The President of the Senate The Speaker of the House of RepresentativesThe Board of G

2、overnors is pleased to submit its Monetary Policy Report pursuant to section 2B of the Federal Reserve Act.Sincerely,Jerome H.Powell,Chairstatement on Longer-run goaLs and monetary PoLicy strategyAdopted effective January24,2012;as reaffirmed effective January 31,2023The Federal Open Market Committe

3、e(FOMC)is firmly committed to fulfilling its statutory mandate from the Congress of promoting maximum employment,stable prices,and moderate long-term interest rates.The Committee seeks to explain its monetary policy decisions to the public as clearly as possible.Such clarity facilitates well-informe

4、d decisionmaking by households and businesses,reduces economic and financial uncertainty,increases the effectiveness of monetary policy,and enhances transparency and accountability,which are essential in a democratic society.Employment,inflation,and long-term interest rates fluctuate over time in re

5、sponse to economic and financial disturbances.Monetary policy plays an important role in stabilizing the economy in response to these disturbances.The Committees primary means of adjusting the stance of monetary policy is through changes in the target range for the federal funds rate.The Committee j

6、udges that the level of the federal funds rate consistent with maximum employment and price stability over the longer run has declined relative to its historical average.Therefore,the federal funds rate is likely to be constrained by its effective lower bound more frequently than in the past.Owing i

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本文主要讨论了2023年6月美国联邦储备系统货币政策报告中的近期经济和金融发展情况。报告指出,尽管通货膨胀率自去年年中以来有所下降,但仍高于美联储2%的目标。劳动力市场依然紧张,就业增长强劲,失业率接近历史低点。经济增长在第一季度放缓,消费者支出增长,但商业投资和制造业产出增长放缓。金融条件进一步收紧,银行贷款增长放缓,企业信贷质量保持强劲,但一些指标显示未来企业违约风险略有上升。住房市场继续收缩,但多个指标显示已接近底部。长期通胀预期保持稳定,但短期预期波动较大。美联储继续提高联邦基金利率目标区间,并减少其证券持有量,以应对高通胀。
美联储如何应对高通胀? 劳动力市场紧张程度如何? 经济增长放缓的原因是什么?
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