1、2026 US VENTURE CAPITAL OUTLOOK:MIDYEAR UPDATE1Institutional Research GroupKyle Stanford,CAIA Director,VC Research Emily Zheng Senior Research Analyst,Venture Capital Kaidi Gao Senior Research Analyst,Venture Capital Susan Hu Quantitative Research Analyst Caleb Wilkins Data APublished on June 22,202
2、62026 US Venture Capital Outlook:Midyear UpdateChecking in on our 2026 US VC predictionsPitchBook is a Morningstar company providing the most comprehensive,most accurate,and hard-to-find data for professionals doing business in the private markets.2026 outlooks3 The early stages of the market will s
3、ee a surge in deal activity.5 Later-stage deal activity will remain strong.9 Liquidity will return,though recovery will remain uneven.12 Fundraising has bottomed out,and a gradual rebound awaits as distributions and LP sentiment improve.2026 US VENTURE CAPITAL OUTLOOK:MIDYEAR UPDATE2IntroductionAt t
4、he end of every year,we share our views on how the year ahead will unfold for US venture capital.We offered four outlooks for 2026,and it is time to take stock of those trends to see how they are tracking.We look forward to sharing our takes on these and other developments throughout the year in our
5、 two quarterly reports:the PitchBook-NVCA Venture Monitor and US VC Valuations and Returns Report.The first half of 2026 has been six months of contradiction and concentration.Dealmaking,fundraising,and liquidity have each shown volatility,even if they have been largely insulated from the uncertaint
6、y surrounding war in the Middle East and returning inflation.VC activity has also been unencumbered by the rising political challenges to AI and the growing anti-AI sentiment among the US population.Based on top-line figures,H1 2026 VC activity has been record-breaking.Q1 was the largest quarter for
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