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利比咨询(RLB):2025年下半年新加坡及区域建筑市场更新报告(英文版)(27页).pdf

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1、RIDER LEVETT BUCKNALL RIDER LEVETT BUCKNALL SINGAPORE AND SINGAPORE AND REGIONAL REPORTREGIONAL REPORTDECEMBER 2025DECEMBER 2025CONSTRUCTION MARKET UPDATECONSTRUCTION MARKET UPDATEH2H220252025Introduction 1Highlights 2Markets Singapore 5Cambodia 7Indonesia 9Malaysia 11 Vietnam 13Philippines 15Japan

2、17Commodity Price Trends 20Currency Exchange Rates 20Construction Prices in the Region 21Professional Services 23Our Offices 24Rider Levett Bucknall|Singapore&Regional Report 2H 2025CONTENTSCONTENTSINTRODUCTIONINTRODUCTIONGeneral Market General Market Entering the second half of 2025,global econ

3、omic conditions remain broadly stable but fragile.Disinflation has continued across many major economies,easing some pressure on interest rates,although financing conditions remain restrictive by historical standards.Growth momentum is increasingly shaped by geopolitical developments,trade policy un

4、certainty,and uneven recovery patterns across regions,particularly for economies with high exposure to global supply chains.Global output growth is expected to remain modest,with the International Monetary Fund forecasting expansion of around 3.0%in 2025 and edging slightly higher in 2026 to 3.3%as

5、technology and adaptability offset trade policy headwinds.Advanced economies are seeing slower expansion as fiscal support tapers and borrowing costs stay elevated,while emerging and developing economies continue to provide the main source of incremental growth.Within the region,economic performance

6、 remains differentiated.Vietnam and Indonesia are benefiting from infrastructure spending,manufacturing activity and domestic demand,while Singapore and Japan are experiencing more restrained growth amid mature markets,cost pressures and policy recalibration.These varying macroeconomic conditions tr

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1. **全球与区域经济**:2025年全球经济稳定但脆弱,IMF预测2025年全球增长3.0%,2026年升至3.3%。东南亚经济分化,越南、印尼受益于基建和制造业,新加坡、日本增长受限。 2. **建筑市场趋势**:材料与劳动力成本仍是 Tender Price Index (TPI) 上涨主因,但外部因素(如异常天气、政府支出)影响权重上升7%。2026年TPI预测:新加坡3.0%-5.0%、胡志明市5.0%-7.0%、东京5.9%。 3. **政策与改革**:新加坡推行CORENET X数字化审批平台;印尼放宽外资准入;马来西亚上调外劳最低工资;越南简化基建许可。 4. **区域需求与价格**: - 新加坡2026年建筑需求预测S$47b-S$53b,TPI 3.0%-5.0%。 - 越南基建项目强劲,2026年建筑需求增长6.0%-8.0%。 - 日本劳动力成本年增5%-6%,推动价格上行。 5. **大宗商品与汇率**:铜价2025年2Q环比涨2.9%,原油跌2.3%;美元兑多数亚洲货币走强(如日元148:1)。
建市价何变? 哪国基建强? 成本涨多少?
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